OpenAI’s internal prototype for an X-like social network, first reported in April 2025 as an early-stage ChatGPT image-generation feed, has shown no confirmed development or launch timeline since, driving the 92.5% market-implied odds against a 2026 release. The company remains focused on scaling large language models, enterprise API revenue, and compute infrastructure rather than building or moderating a full consumer platform, with no official statements or regulatory filings indicating acceleration. Trader consensus reflects the typical 18–24 month runway from prototype to public launch in social products, plus OpenAI’s history of prioritizing core AI capabilities. A credible scenario that could still shift odds includes a surprise integration of social features into the existing ChatGPT app announced at DevDay 2026 or a partnership that bypasses traditional development cycles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว8% โอกาส
$62,740 ปริมาณ
$62,740 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
8% โอกาส
$62,740 ปริมาณ
$62,740 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s internal prototype for an X-like social network, first reported in April 2025 as an early-stage ChatGPT image-generation feed, has shown no confirmed development or launch timeline since, driving the 92.5% market-implied odds against a 2026 release. The company remains focused on scaling large language models, enterprise API revenue, and compute infrastructure rather than building or moderating a full consumer platform, with no official statements or regulatory filings indicating acceleration. Trader consensus reflects the typical 18–24 month runway from prototype to public launch in social products, plus OpenAI’s history of prioritizing core AI capabilities. A credible scenario that could still shift odds includes a surprise integration of social features into the existing ChatGPT app announced at DevDay 2026 or a partnership that bypasses traditional development cycles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62,740วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s internal prototype for an X-like social network, first reported in April 2025 as an early-stage ChatGPT image-generation feed, has shown no confirmed development or launch timeline since, driving the 92.5% market-implied odds against a 2026 release. The company remains focused on scaling large language models, enterprise API revenue, and compute infrastructure rather than building or moderating a full consumer platform, with no official statements or regulatory filings indicating acceleration. Trader consensus reflects the typical 18–24 month runway from prototype to public launch in social products, plus OpenAI’s history of prioritizing core AI capabilities. A credible scenario that could still shift odds includes a surprise integration of social features into the existing ChatGPT app announced at DevDay 2026 or a partnership that bypasses traditional development cycles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62,740วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s internal prototype for an X-like social network, first reported in April 2025 as an early-stage ChatGPT image-generation feed, has shown no confirmed development or launch timeline since, driving the 92.5% market-implied odds against a 2026 release. The company remains focused on scaling large language models, enterprise API revenue, and compute infrastructure rather than building or moderating a full consumer platform, with no official statements or regulatory filings indicating acceleration. Trader consensus reflects the typical 18–24 month runway from prototype to public launch in social products, plus OpenAI’s history of prioritizing core AI capabilities. A credible scenario that could still shift odds includes a surprise integration of social features into the existing ChatGPT app announced at DevDay 2026 or a partnership that bypasses traditional development cycles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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