Mortgage rates remain anchored near 6.6-6.7 percent amid sticky inflation and steady Treasury yields, with the 10-year note providing the primary benchmark for 30-year fixed pricing. Recent Fannie Mae and Mortgage Bankers Association forecasts point to modest easing toward 6.3-6.5 percent by year-end 2026, contingent on continued disinflation and Federal Reserve policy restraint rather than aggressive cuts. Key swing factors include upcoming CPI releases, labor-market data, and FOMC communications that shape rate-cut expectations, alongside any shifts in risk appetite that influence long-term bond demand. Traders closely monitor these inputs because even small moves in yields or inflation prints can alter the probability of rates breaching specific thresholds before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
$50,494 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 7.00%
47%
↑ 6.75%
82%
↓ 5.90%
55%
↓ 5.70%
28%
↓ 5.50%
48%
$50,494 ปริมาณ
↑ 7.00%
$26 ปริมาณ
47%
↑ 6.75%
$181 ปริมาณ
82%
↓ 5.90%
$6,124 ปริมาณ
55%
↓ 5.70%
$7,088 ปริมาณ
28%
↓ 5.50%
$72 ปริมาณ
48%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Mortgage rates remain anchored near 6.6-6.7 percent amid sticky inflation and steady Treasury yields, with the 10-year note providing the primary benchmark for 30-year fixed pricing. Recent Fannie Mae and Mortgage Bankers Association forecasts point to modest easing toward 6.3-6.5 percent by year-end 2026, contingent on continued disinflation and Federal Reserve policy restraint rather than aggressive cuts. Key swing factors include upcoming CPI releases, labor-market data, and FOMC communications that shape rate-cut expectations, alongside any shifts in risk appetite that influence long-term bond demand. Traders closely monitor these inputs because even small moves in yields or inflation prints can alter the probability of rates breaching specific thresholds before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,494วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Mortgage rates remain anchored near 6.6-6.7 percent amid sticky inflation and steady Treasury yields, with the 10-year note providing the primary benchmark for 30-year fixed pricing. Recent Fannie Mae and Mortgage Bankers Association forecasts point to modest easing toward 6.3-6.5 percent by year-end 2026, contingent on continued disinflation and Federal Reserve policy restraint rather than aggressive cuts. Key swing factors include upcoming CPI releases, labor-market data, and FOMC communications that shape rate-cut expectations, alongside any shifts in risk appetite that influence long-term bond demand. Traders closely monitor these inputs because even small moves in yields or inflation prints can alter the probability of rates breaching specific thresholds before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,494วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mortgage rates remain anchored near 6.6-6.7 percent amid sticky inflation and steady Treasury yields, with the 10-year note providing the primary benchmark for 30-year fixed pricing. Recent Fannie Mae and Mortgage Bankers Association forecasts point to modest easing toward 6.3-6.5 percent by year-end 2026, contingent on continued disinflation and Federal Reserve policy restraint rather than aggressive cuts. Key swing factors include upcoming CPI releases, labor-market data, and FOMC communications that shape rate-cut expectations, alongside any shifts in risk appetite that influence long-term bond demand. Traders closely monitor these inputs because even small moves in yields or inflation prints can alter the probability of rates breaching specific thresholds before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย