Ongoing limited U.S. airstrikes on Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps targets and shipping incidents in the Strait of Hormuz reflect a pattern of targeted retaliation and pressure rather than preparation for ground operations to seize territory. The June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding established a framework for talks on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and maritime access, with intermittent technical negotiations persisting into September despite periodic flare-ups. President Trump has signaled expectations that major hostilities will conclude after the November midterms through sustained maximum-pressure measures, while advisers have highlighted risks and resource constraints associated with broader campaigns. These developments align with trader consensus that air, naval, and economic tools will predominate over any full-scale invasion before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วสหรัฐฯจะรุกรานอิหร่านก่อนปี 2027 หรือไม่?
สหรัฐฯจะรุกรานอิหร่านก่อนปี 2027 หรือไม่?
ใช่
17% โอกาส
$66,053,093 ปริมาณ
$66,053,093 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
ใช่
17% โอกาส
$66,053,093 ปริมาณ
$66,053,093 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Ongoing limited U.S. airstrikes on Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps targets and shipping incidents in the Strait of Hormuz reflect a pattern of targeted retaliation and pressure rather than preparation for ground operations to seize territory. The June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding established a framework for talks on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and maritime access, with intermittent technical negotiations persisting into September despite periodic flare-ups. President Trump has signaled expectations that major hostilities will conclude after the November midterms through sustained maximum-pressure measures, while advisers have highlighted risks and resource constraints associated with broader campaigns. These developments align with trader consensus that air, naval, and economic tools will predominate over any full-scale invasion before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$66,053,093วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Ongoing limited U.S. airstrikes on Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps targets and shipping incidents in the Strait of Hormuz reflect a pattern of targeted retaliation and pressure rather than preparation for ground operations to seize territory. The June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding established a framework for talks on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and maritime access, with intermittent technical negotiations persisting into September despite periodic flare-ups. President Trump has signaled expectations that major hostilities will conclude after the November midterms through sustained maximum-pressure measures, while advisers have highlighted risks and resource constraints associated with broader campaigns. These developments align with trader consensus that air, naval, and economic tools will predominate over any full-scale invasion before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$66,053,093วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Ongoing limited U.S. airstrikes on Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps targets and shipping incidents in the Strait of Hormuz reflect a pattern of targeted retaliation and pressure rather than preparation for ground operations to seize territory. The June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding established a framework for talks on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and maritime access, with intermittent technical negotiations persisting into September despite periodic flare-ups. President Trump has signaled expectations that major hostilities will conclude after the November midterms through sustained maximum-pressure measures, while advisers have highlighted risks and resource constraints associated with broader campaigns. These developments align with trader consensus that air, naval, and economic tools will predominate over any full-scale invasion before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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