**Recent U.S.-Iran military exchanges, including the February 2026 Operation Epic Fury airstrikes and subsequent limited strikes tied to Strait of Hormuz tensions, have relied on air, missile, and naval operations rather than ground forces aimed at territorial control.** President Trump has publicly downplayed full ground campaigns while pursuing ceasefires, a June 2026 memorandum of understanding, and sanctions pressure alongside targeted retaliation. High occupation costs, risks of broader regional escalation involving proxies and allies, congressional constraints under the War Powers Resolution, and U.S. strategic focus elsewhere have reinforced trader consensus against a full invasion by the end of 2026. Diplomatic channels and de-escalation signals continue to shape the implied probability favoring no ground offensive.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วสหรัฐฯจะรุกรานอิหร่านก่อนปี 2027 หรือไม่?
สหรัฐฯจะรุกรานอิหร่านก่อนปี 2027 หรือไม่?
ใช่
$53,643,336 ปริมาณ
$53,643,336 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
ใช่
$53,643,336 ปริมาณ
$53,643,336 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.**Recent U.S.-Iran military exchanges, including the February 2026 Operation Epic Fury airstrikes and subsequent limited strikes tied to Strait of Hormuz tensions, have relied on air, missile, and naval operations rather than ground forces aimed at territorial control.** President Trump has publicly downplayed full ground campaigns while pursuing ceasefires, a June 2026 memorandum of understanding, and sanctions pressure alongside targeted retaliation. High occupation costs, risks of broader regional escalation involving proxies and allies, congressional constraints under the War Powers Resolution, and U.S. strategic focus elsewhere have reinforced trader consensus against a full invasion by the end of 2026. Diplomatic channels and de-escalation signals continue to shape the implied probability favoring no ground offensive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,643,336วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.**Recent U.S.-Iran military exchanges, including the February 2026 Operation Epic Fury airstrikes and subsequent limited strikes tied to Strait of Hormuz tensions, have relied on air, missile, and naval operations rather than ground forces aimed at territorial control.** President Trump has publicly downplayed full ground campaigns while pursuing ceasefires, a June 2026 memorandum of understanding, and sanctions pressure alongside targeted retaliation. High occupation costs, risks of broader regional escalation involving proxies and allies, congressional constraints under the War Powers Resolution, and U.S. strategic focus elsewhere have reinforced trader consensus against a full invasion by the end of 2026. Diplomatic channels and de-escalation signals continue to shape the implied probability favoring no ground offensive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,643,336วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent U.S.-Iran military exchanges, including the February 2026 Operation Epic Fury airstrikes and subsequent limited strikes tied to Strait of Hormuz tensions, have relied on air, missile, and naval operations rather than ground forces aimed at territorial control.** President Trump has publicly downplayed full ground campaigns while pursuing ceasefires, a June 2026 memorandum of understanding, and sanctions pressure alongside targeted retaliation. High occupation costs, risks of broader regional escalation involving proxies and allies, congressional constraints under the War Powers Resolution, and U.S. strategic focus elsewhere have reinforced trader consensus against a full invasion by the end of 2026. Diplomatic channels and de-escalation signals continue to shape the implied probability favoring no ground offensive.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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