Ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions, marked by limited strikes since February 2026 and a naval blockade, have not escalated to ground operations despite periodic rhetoric from President Trump about decisive action. Recent September exchanges of limited attacks, Iranian warnings of expanded retaliation, and U.S. sanctions pressure coincide with active mediation through Qatar and Pakistan aimed at de-escalation or a deal framework. Traders price a low probability of invasion before 2027 because U.S. strategy has emphasized air and naval operations, economic measures, and diplomatic engagement over large-scale troop deployment, amid mounting costs, munitions constraints, and regional risks. No official plans or deployments signal an imminent full invasion, though outcomes remain subject to rapid shifts in negotiations or incidents.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วสหรัฐฯจะรุกรานอิหร่านก่อนปี 2027 หรือไม่?
สหรัฐฯจะรุกรานอิหร่านก่อนปี 2027 หรือไม่?
ใช่
17% โอกาส
$67,566,191 ปริมาณ
$67,566,191 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
ใช่
17% โอกาส
$67,566,191 ปริมาณ
$67,566,191 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions, marked by limited strikes since February 2026 and a naval blockade, have not escalated to ground operations despite periodic rhetoric from President Trump about decisive action. Recent September exchanges of limited attacks, Iranian warnings of expanded retaliation, and U.S. sanctions pressure coincide with active mediation through Qatar and Pakistan aimed at de-escalation or a deal framework. Traders price a low probability of invasion before 2027 because U.S. strategy has emphasized air and naval operations, economic measures, and diplomatic engagement over large-scale troop deployment, amid mounting costs, munitions constraints, and regional risks. No official plans or deployments signal an imminent full invasion, though outcomes remain subject to rapid shifts in negotiations or incidents.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$67,566,191วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions, marked by limited strikes since February 2026 and a naval blockade, have not escalated to ground operations despite periodic rhetoric from President Trump about decisive action. Recent September exchanges of limited attacks, Iranian warnings of expanded retaliation, and U.S. sanctions pressure coincide with active mediation through Qatar and Pakistan aimed at de-escalation or a deal framework. Traders price a low probability of invasion before 2027 because U.S. strategy has emphasized air and naval operations, economic measures, and diplomatic engagement over large-scale troop deployment, amid mounting costs, munitions constraints, and regional risks. No official plans or deployments signal an imminent full invasion, though outcomes remain subject to rapid shifts in negotiations or incidents.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$67,566,191วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions, marked by limited strikes since February 2026 and a naval blockade, have not escalated to ground operations despite periodic rhetoric from President Trump about decisive action. Recent September exchanges of limited attacks, Iranian warnings of expanded retaliation, and U.S. sanctions pressure coincide with active mediation through Qatar and Pakistan aimed at de-escalation or a deal framework. Traders price a low probability of invasion before 2027 because U.S. strategy has emphasized air and naval operations, economic measures, and diplomatic engagement over large-scale troop deployment, amid mounting costs, munitions constraints, and regional risks. No official plans or deployments signal an imminent full invasion, though outcomes remain subject to rapid shifts in negotiations or incidents.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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