Jerry Carl leads the AL-01 Republican primary market as traders price in his prior service representing the district, superior name recognition, and first-place finish in the invalidated May 19 primary. Redistricting litigation has shifted the contest to an August 11 special primary featuring a narrower field that includes Carl alongside challengers such as Austin Sidwell and John Mills. This timeline and Carl’s established fundraising and organizational edge underpin the wide gap in implied probabilities, while lesser-known candidates trail amid limited recent polling or endorsements that could alter positioning before the special primary ballot is finalized.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAL-01 Republican Primary Winner
Jerry Carl 94.9%
John Mills 6.2%
Austin Sidwell 5.6%
Rhett Marques 5.0%
$48,307 Vol.
$48,307 Vol.
Jerry Carl
95%
John Mills
6%
Austin Sidwell
6%
Rhett Marques
5%
James Richardson
<1%
James Dees
<1%
Joshua McKee
<1%
Jerry Carl 94.9%
John Mills 6.2%
Austin Sidwell 5.6%
Rhett Marques 5.0%
$48,307 Vol.
$48,307 Vol.
Jerry Carl
95%
John Mills
6%
Austin Sidwell
6%
Rhett Marques
5%
James Richardson
<1%
James Dees
<1%
Joshua McKee
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Binuksan ang Market: Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerry Carl leads the AL-01 Republican primary market as traders price in his prior service representing the district, superior name recognition, and first-place finish in the invalidated May 19 primary. Redistricting litigation has shifted the contest to an August 11 special primary featuring a narrower field that includes Carl alongside challengers such as Austin Sidwell and John Mills. This timeline and Carl’s established fundraising and organizational edge underpin the wide gap in implied probabilities, while lesser-known candidates trail amid limited recent polling or endorsements that could alter positioning before the special primary ballot is finalized.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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