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FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

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FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

Catalina Lauf 47%

Madison Cawthorn 14.7%

Jim Schwartzel 13.2%

Jim Oberweis 10.1%

Polymarket

$21,088 Vol.

Catalina Lauf 47%

Madison Cawthorn 14.7%

Jim Schwartzel 13.2%

Jim Oberweis 10.1%

Polymarket

$21,088 Vol.

Catalina Lauf

$15,918 Vol.

47%

Madison Cawthorn

$1,283 Vol.

15%

Jim Schwartzel

$127 Vol.

13%

Jim Oberweis

$2,256 Vol.

10%

Spencer Roach

$647 Vol.

2%

Bob Rommel

$857 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Catalina Lauf leads trader consensus at 46.5% in the open FL-19 Republican primary due to her strong first-quarter 2026 fundraising haul of $541,000—outpacing rivals—and Trump administration background, bolstered by an early endorsement from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna. Madison Cawthorn trails at 15% on name recognition from his prior House tenure and recent $500,000 self-funding commitment, despite past controversies, while Jim Schwartzel's 13.2% reflects a hefty $1.28 million cash-on-hand entering the year as a local contender. Jim Oberweis sits at 9.7% leveraging Illinois business ties in the crowded field vacated by Byron Donalds' gubernatorial run, with money and MAGA credentials driving odds ahead of the August 18 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$21,088
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Catalina Lauf leads trader consensus at 46.5% in the open FL-19 Republican primary due to her strong first-quarter 2026 fundraising haul of $541,000—outpacing rivals—and Trump administration background, bolstered by an early endorsement from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna. Madison Cawthorn trails at 15% on name recognition from his prior House tenure and recent $500,000 self-funding commitment, despite past controversies, while Jim Schwartzel's 13.2% reflects a hefty $1.28 million cash-on-hand entering the year as a local contender. Jim Oberweis sits at 9.7% leveraging Illinois business ties in the crowded field vacated by Byron Donalds' gubernatorial run, with money and MAGA credentials driving odds ahead of the August 18 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$21,088
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Catalina Lauf" sa 47%, sinusundan ng "Madison Cawthorn" sa 15%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 47¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 47% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $21.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 25, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" ay "Catalina Lauf" sa 47%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 47% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Madison Cawthorn" sa 15%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.