Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) justices face repeated impeachment petitions and campaign rhetoric ahead of the October 2026 Senate elections, with opposition candidates targeting figures such as Alexandre de Moraes over procedural and investigative decisions. Trader consensus on no removal before 2027 reflects Brazil's unbroken record of zero successful impeachments, the constitutional requirement of a two-thirds Senate supermajority (54 of 81 votes), and institutional safeguards including preemptive rulings narrowing complaint standing. Projections indicate pro-impeachment senators are unlikely to reach the threshold even after the elections, while cross-party caution and Senate leadership resistance further stabilize the outlook. Late developments such as a decisive congressional shift or major scandal could still alter probabilities within the narrow remaining window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update4% tsansa
$83,766 Vol.
$83,766 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
4% tsansa
$83,766 Vol.
$83,766 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) justices face repeated impeachment petitions and campaign rhetoric ahead of the October 2026 Senate elections, with opposition candidates targeting figures such as Alexandre de Moraes over procedural and investigative decisions. Trader consensus on no removal before 2027 reflects Brazil's unbroken record of zero successful impeachments, the constitutional requirement of a two-thirds Senate supermajority (54 of 81 votes), and institutional safeguards including preemptive rulings narrowing complaint standing. Projections indicate pro-impeachment senators are unlikely to reach the threshold even after the elections, while cross-party caution and Senate leadership resistance further stabilize the outlook. Late developments such as a decisive congressional shift or major scandal could still alter probabilities within the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volume
$83,766Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) justices face repeated impeachment petitions and campaign rhetoric ahead of the October 2026 Senate elections, with opposition candidates targeting figures such as Alexandre de Moraes over procedural and investigative decisions. Trader consensus on no removal before 2027 reflects Brazil's unbroken record of zero successful impeachments, the constitutional requirement of a two-thirds Senate supermajority (54 of 81 votes), and institutional safeguards including preemptive rulings narrowing complaint standing. Projections indicate pro-impeachment senators are unlikely to reach the threshold even after the elections, while cross-party caution and Senate leadership resistance further stabilize the outlook. Late developments such as a decisive congressional shift or major scandal could still alter probabilities within the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$83,766Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) justices face repeated impeachment petitions and campaign rhetoric ahead of the October 2026 Senate elections, with opposition candidates targeting figures such as Alexandre de Moraes over procedural and investigative decisions. Trader consensus on no removal before 2027 reflects Brazil's unbroken record of zero successful impeachments, the constitutional requirement of a two-thirds Senate supermajority (54 of 81 votes), and institutional safeguards including preemptive rulings narrowing complaint standing. Projections indicate pro-impeachment senators are unlikely to reach the threshold even after the elections, while cross-party caution and Senate leadership resistance further stabilize the outlook. Late developments such as a decisive congressional shift or major scandal could still alter probabilities within the narrow remaining window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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