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Politika·Halalan Sa US

AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Halalan Sa US

AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Amish Shah 100.0%

Rick McCartney <1%

Jonathan Treble <1%

Marlene Galán-Woods <1%

Polymarket

$40,849 Vol.

Amish Shah 100.0%

Rick McCartney <1%

Jonathan Treble <1%

Marlene Galán-Woods <1%

Polymarket

$40,849 Vol.

Rick McCartney

$612 Vol.

No

Amish Shah

$21,961 Vol.

Yes

Jonathan Treble

$7,790 Vol.

No

Marlene Galán-Woods

$10,487 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The tight trader consensus around 44-50% for Amish Shah, Marlene Galán-Woods, Rick McCartney, and Jonathan Treble in Arizona's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary stems from a four-way contest set for July 21, 2026. Shah, a former state representative and ER physician with prior primary success, holds name recognition but faces questions over his 2024 general-election loss. Galán-Woods, a former journalist backed by the DCCC, positions herself as the stronger general-election candidate emphasizing institutional accountability. The two businessmen on the ballot add further fragmentation. A late-June debate underscored policy differences on healthcare, costs, and economic issues while leaving substantial undecided voters, limiting any single contender's edge in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,849
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 21, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 29, 2026, 4:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The tight trader consensus around 44-50% for Amish Shah, Marlene Galán-Woods, Rick McCartney, and Jonathan Treble in Arizona's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary stems from a four-way contest set for July 21, 2026. Shah, a former state representative and ER physician with prior primary success, holds name recognition but faces questions over his 2024 general-election loss. Galán-Woods, a former journalist backed by the DCCC, positions herself as the stronger general-election candidate emphasizing institutional accountability. The two businessmen on the ballot add further fragmentation. A late-June debate underscored policy differences on healthcare, costs, and economic issues while leaving substantial undecided voters, limiting any single contender's edge in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,849
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 21, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 29, 2026, 4:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Amish Shah" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Rick McCartney" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $40.8K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jun 29, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Amish Shah" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Rick McCartney" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.