Recent House Ethics Committee probe into sexual misconduct allegations against Rep. Eric Swalwell (D-CA), launched April 13, led to his resignation from Congress the same day, reinforcing trader consensus at 91.5% "No" for arrest by May 31. Post-resignation reports cite a DOJ investigation into the claims, alongside referrals for mortgage irregularities on his D.C. townhouse and resurfaced FBI files on past ties to suspected Chinese operative Christine Fang. Absent indictments, charges, or warrants—hallmarks preceding arrests—traders view procedural hurdles, including potential grand jury timelines, as significant barriers, though late-breaking developments like special counsel actions could shift odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateEric Swalwell arrested by May 31?
Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?
$10,586 Vol.
$10,586 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$10,586 Vol.
$10,586 Vol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent House Ethics Committee probe into sexual misconduct allegations against Rep. Eric Swalwell (D-CA), launched April 13, led to his resignation from Congress the same day, reinforcing trader consensus at 91.5% "No" for arrest by May 31. Post-resignation reports cite a DOJ investigation into the claims, alongside referrals for mortgage irregularities on his D.C. townhouse and resurfaced FBI files on past ties to suspected Chinese operative Christine Fang. Absent indictments, charges, or warrants—hallmarks preceding arrests—traders view procedural hurdles, including potential grand jury timelines, as significant barriers, though late-breaking developments like special counsel actions could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ET
Volume
$10,586Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent House Ethics Committee probe into sexual misconduct allegations against Rep. Eric Swalwell (D-CA), launched April 13, led to his resignation from Congress the same day, reinforcing trader consensus at 91.5% "No" for arrest by May 31. Post-resignation reports cite a DOJ investigation into the claims, alongside referrals for mortgage irregularities on his D.C. townhouse and resurfaced FBI files on past ties to suspected Chinese operative Christine Fang. Absent indictments, charges, or warrants—hallmarks preceding arrests—traders view procedural hurdles, including potential grand jury timelines, as significant barriers, though late-breaking developments like special counsel actions could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,586Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent House Ethics Committee probe into sexual misconduct allegations against Rep. Eric Swalwell (D-CA), launched April 13, led to his resignation from Congress the same day, reinforcing trader consensus at 91.5% "No" for arrest by May 31. Post-resignation reports cite a DOJ investigation into the claims, alongside referrals for mortgage irregularities on his D.C. townhouse and resurfaced FBI files on past ties to suspected Chinese operative Christine Fang. Absent indictments, charges, or warrants—hallmarks preceding arrests—traders view procedural hurdles, including potential grand jury timelines, as significant barriers, though late-breaking developments like special counsel actions could shift odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong