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Heopolitika·Israel

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Market icon
Heopolitika·Israel

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

$162,672 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$162,672 Vol.

Polymarket
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30? icon

North Korea

$14,893 Vol.

4%

Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30 icon

Cuba

$2,253 Vol.

4%

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30? icon

Saudi Arabia

$8,209 Vol.

10%

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? icon

Lebanon

$29,055 Vol.

17%

Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by June 30? icon

Afghanistan

$143 Vol.

4%

Will Iraq recognize Israel by June 30? icon

Iraq

$410 Vol.

5%

Will Pakistan recognize Israel by June 30? icon

Pakistan

$262 Vol.

6%

Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30? icon

Syria

$8,844 Vol.

10%

Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30? icon

Venezuela

$84,990 Vol.

11%

Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30? icon

Tunisia

$672 Vol.

5%

Will Kuwait recognize Israel by June 30? icon

Kuwait

$1,264 Vol.

7%

Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30? icon

Qatar

$1,570 Vol.

6%

Will Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30? icon

Indonesia

$8,329 Vol.

5%

Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30? icon

Malaysia

$575 Vol.

4%

Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by June 30? icon

Bangladesh

$1,202 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel holds diplomatic recognition from 163 UN member states as of early 2026, with the remaining 29 non-recognizers—primarily Muslim-majority countries including Algeria, Iran, Iraq, Lebanon, Libya, Malaysia, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Tunisia—citing the unresolved Israeli-Palestinian conflict as a barrier. No new recognitions have occurred in the past 30 days, reflecting stalled normalization efforts amid ongoing Gaza hostilities and West Bank settlement expansions criticized in a March joint statement by 20 foreign ministers. Saudi Arabia's potential Abraham Accords entry remains conditional on Palestinian statehood progress, per recent U.S. diplomatic pushes like Senator Lindsey Graham's March initiative, while Indonesia links ties to Palestinian independence. Traders weigh slim prospects for breakthroughs before June 30 against entrenched regional diplomacy and mutual interests in countering Iran.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$162,672
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel holds diplomatic recognition from 163 UN member states as of early 2026, with the remaining 29 non-recognizers—primarily Muslim-majority countries including Algeria, Iran, Iraq, Lebanon, Libya, Malaysia, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Tunisia—citing the unresolved Israeli-Palestinian conflict as a barrier. No new recognitions have occurred in the past 30 days, reflecting stalled normalization efforts amid ongoing Gaza hostilities and West Bank settlement expansions criticized in a March joint statement by 20 foreign ministers. Saudi Arabia's potential Abraham Accords entry remains conditional on Palestinian statehood progress, per recent U.S. diplomatic pushes like Senator Lindsey Graham's March initiative, while Indonesia links ties to Palestinian independence. Traders weigh slim prospects for breakthroughs before June 30 against entrenched regional diplomacy and mutual interests in countering Iran.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$162,672
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 15 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Lebanon" sa 17%, sinusundan ng "Venezuela" sa 11%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 17¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 17% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" ay naka-generate ng $162.7K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 20, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?," i-browse ang 15 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" ay "Lebanon" sa 17%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 17% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Venezuela" sa 11%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.