Florida's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Representative Aaron Bean advancing unopposed through the canceled Republican primary. The district's voter composition and historical margins support trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. On the Democratic side, LaShonda Holloway secured the nomination in the August 18 primary by defeating Michael Kirwan and Brittney Robinson. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal and modest fundraising by challengers relative to the incumbent. The November 3 ballot will also include minor-party candidates, though structural factors and recent primary outcomes continue to anchor expectations for the Republican hold.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFL-04 House Election Winner
FL-04 House Election Winner
$27,417 Vol.
$27,417 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
12%
$27,417 Vol.
$27,417 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$16,720 Vol.
89%
Democratic Party
$10,697 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Representative Aaron Bean advancing unopposed through the canceled Republican primary. The district's voter composition and historical margins support trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. On the Democratic side, LaShonda Holloway secured the nomination in the August 18 primary by defeating Michael Kirwan and Brittney Robinson. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal and modest fundraising by challengers relative to the incumbent. The November 3 ballot will also include minor-party candidates, though structural factors and recent primary outcomes continue to anchor expectations for the Republican hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$27,417Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Representative Aaron Bean advancing unopposed through the canceled Republican primary. The district's voter composition and historical margins support trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. On the Democratic side, LaShonda Holloway secured the nomination in the August 18 primary by defeating Michael Kirwan and Brittney Robinson. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal and modest fundraising by challengers relative to the incumbent. The November 3 ballot will also include minor-party candidates, though structural factors and recent primary outcomes continue to anchor expectations for the Republican hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,417Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Representative Aaron Bean advancing unopposed through the canceled Republican primary. The district's voter composition and historical margins support trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. On the Democratic side, LaShonda Holloway secured the nomination in the August 18 primary by defeating Michael Kirwan and Brittney Robinson. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal and modest fundraising by challengers relative to the incumbent. The November 3 ballot will also include minor-party candidates, though structural factors and recent primary outcomes continue to anchor expectations for the Republican hold.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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