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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Florida Governor Republican Primary Third Place

icon for Florida Governor Republican Primary Third Place
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Florida Governor Republican Primary Third Place

James Fishback 96%

Byron Donalds 4.8%

Daniel Nokovich 4.8%

James Walker Shaw 4.8%

Polymarket
BAGO

James Fishback 96%

Byron Donalds 4.8%

Daniel Nokovich 4.8%

James Walker Shaw 4.8%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for James Fishback

James Fishback

$20 Vol.

96%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$226 Vol.

5%

icon for Daniel Nokovich

Daniel Nokovich

$226 Vol.

5%

icon for James Walker Shaw

James Walker Shaw

$226 Vol.

5%

icon for Jay Collins

Jay Collins

$226 Vol.

3%

icon for Jim Holcomb

Jim Holcomb

$119 Vol.

1%

icon for Arthur Joseph McCaffrey

Arthur Joseph McCaffrey

$169 Vol.

1%

icon for Rachel Rodriguez

Rachel Rodriguez

$155 Vol.

1%

icon for Caneste Succe

Caneste Succe

$169 Vol.

1%

icon for Bobby Williams

Bobby Williams

$169 Vol.

1%

icon for Paul Renner

Paul Renner

$34 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Florida's Republican primary for governor, scheduled for August 18, 2026, features a crowded field of 11 candidates seeking to succeed term-limited incumbent Ron DeSantis. Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead with President Trump's endorsement and superior fundraising, positioning Jay Collins, the current lieutenant governor and a DeSantis ally, as the likely runner-up. This structure leaves the battle for third place highly competitive among Paul Renner, the former House speaker with legislative experience, James Fishback, and several lower-profile entrants. Vote fragmentation across the remaining candidates sustains the tight trader consensus around 50 percent implied probabilities for multiple options, while limited recent polling shifts or endorsements have prevented clearer separation. Late primary-day turnout patterns or surprise vote consolidation could still alter the outcome before results finalize.

This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$1,741
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 18, 2026, 3:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Florida's Republican primary for governor, scheduled for August 18, 2026, features a crowded field of 11 candidates seeking to succeed term-limited incumbent Ron DeSantis. Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead with President Trump's endorsement and superior fundraising, positioning Jay Collins, the current lieutenant governor and a DeSantis ally, as the likely runner-up. This structure leaves the battle for third place highly competitive among Paul Renner, the former House speaker with legislative experience, James Fishback, and several lower-profile entrants. Vote fragmentation across the remaining candidates sustains the tight trader consensus around 50 percent implied probabilities for multiple options, while limited recent polling shifts or endorsements have prevented clearer separation. Late primary-day turnout patterns or surprise vote consolidation could still alter the outcome before results finalize.

This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$1,741
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 18, 2026, 3:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Kaugnay

icon for Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?

Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?

99%
icon for Magiging nominado ba ng Republikano si Byron Donalds para Gobernador ng Florida?

Magiging nominado ba ng Republikano si Byron Donalds para Gobernador ng Florida?

100%
Oo
icon for Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?

Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?

100%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Florida Governor Republican Primary Third Place" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 11 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "James Fishback" sa 96%, sinusundan ng "Paul Renner" sa 50%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 96¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 96% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Florida Governor Republican Primary Third Place" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 18, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Florida Governor Republican Primary Third Place," i-browse ang 11 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Florida Governor Republican Primary Third Place" ay "James Fishback" sa 96%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 96% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Paul Renner" sa 50%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Florida Governor Republican Primary Third Place" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.