Recent leaks of Gemini 3.2 Flash appearing in the Gemini iOS app model selector and gaining limited user access as of May 5 have fueled trader optimism for an imminent release, positioning May 19 at 39.5% implied probability amid expectations of a Google I/O announcement that weekend. The 29% on "No release by May 31" reflects caution over Google's history of quiet rollouts without firm dates, as seen with Gemini 3.1 Pro's February preview, and potential delays in full Pro deployment. Building on Gemini 3's November 2025 launch, these developments signal accelerated multimodal reasoning upgrades, with I/O as the key catalyst—though competitive pressures from GPT-5.x could influence final timing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateGemini 3.2 released on...?
Gemini 3.2 released on...?
May 19 39%
No release by May 31 30%
May 13 13%
May 14 12%
BAGO
$33,376 Vol.
BAGO
$33,376 Vol.
May 31, 2026
On or prior to May 6
<1%
May 7
1%
May 8
1%
May 9
1%
May 10
1%
May 11
3%
May 12
8%
May 13
13%
May 14
12%
May 15
3%
May 16
1%
May 17
1%
May 18
4%
May 19
39%
May 20
6%
May 21
6%
May 22
2%
May 23
<1%
May 24
1%
May 25
3%
May 26
1%
May 27
7%
May 28
1%
May 29
7%
May 30
<1%
May 31
1%
No release by May 31
30%
May 19 39%
No release by May 31 30%
May 13 13%
May 14 12%
BAGO
$33,376 Vol.
BAGO
$33,376 Vol.
May 31, 2026
On or prior to May 6
$1,423 Vol.
<1%
May 7
$532 Vol.
1%
May 8
$488 Vol.
1%
May 9
$2,761 Vol.
1%
May 10
$2,841 Vol.
1%
May 11
$554 Vol.
3%
May 12
$547 Vol.
8%
May 13
$572 Vol.
13%
May 14
$514 Vol.
12%
May 15
$514 Vol.
3%
May 16
$2,590 Vol.
1%
May 17
$2,601 Vol.
1%
May 18
$534 Vol.
4%
May 19
$832 Vol.
39%
May 20
$640 Vol.
6%
May 21
$574 Vol.
6%
May 22
$554 Vol.
2%
May 23
$2,570 Vol.
<1%
May 24
$2,615 Vol.
1%
May 25
$584 Vol.
3%
May 26
$589 Vol.
1%
May 27
$574 Vol.
7%
May 28
$574 Vol.
1%
May 29
$600 Vol.
7%
May 30
$2,890 Vol.
<1%
May 31
$2,746 Vol.
1%
No release by May 31
$641 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent leaks of Gemini 3.2 Flash appearing in the Gemini iOS app model selector and gaining limited user access as of May 5 have fueled trader optimism for an imminent release, positioning May 19 at 39.5% implied probability amid expectations of a Google I/O announcement that weekend. The 29% on "No release by May 31" reflects caution over Google's history of quiet rollouts without firm dates, as seen with Gemini 3.1 Pro's February preview, and potential delays in full Pro deployment. Building on Gemini 3's November 2025 launch, these developments signal accelerated multimodal reasoning upgrades, with I/O as the key catalyst—though competitive pressures from GPT-5.x could influence final timing.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: May 5, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Volume
$33,376Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 5, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent leaks of Gemini 3.2 Flash appearing in the Gemini iOS app model selector and gaining limited user access as of May 5 have fueled trader optimism for an imminent release, positioning May 19 at 39.5% implied probability amid expectations of a Google I/O announcement that weekend. The 29% on "No release by May 31" reflects caution over Google's history of quiet rollouts without firm dates, as seen with Gemini 3.1 Pro's February preview, and potential delays in full Pro deployment. Building on Gemini 3's November 2025 launch, these developments signal accelerated multimodal reasoning upgrades, with I/O as the key catalyst—though competitive pressures from GPT-5.x could influence final timing.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$33,376Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 5, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent leaks of Gemini 3.2 Flash appearing in the Gemini iOS app model selector and gaining limited user access as of May 5 have fueled trader optimism for an imminent release, positioning May 19 at 39.5% implied probability amid expectations of a Google I/O announcement that weekend. The 29% on "No release by May 31" reflects caution over Google's history of quiet rollouts without firm dates, as seen with Gemini 3.1 Pro's February preview, and potential delays in full Pro deployment. Building on Gemini 3's November 2025 launch, these developments signal accelerated multimodal reasoning upgrades, with I/O as the key catalyst—though competitive pressures from GPT-5.x could influence final timing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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