Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project a daily maximum near 96–99°F for Austin on September 4, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting warm, humid Gulf air under partly cloudy skies with only a 20% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This setup favors the market’s clustered 92–97°F outcomes, as scattered convection could reduce peak insolation and cap temperatures in the mid-90s while clearer intervals allow readings closer to 98–99°F. Historical September averages near 94°F provide context, yet late-summer instability introduces model spread on exact timing of any cooling moisture, sustaining the tight distribution across leading bins as traders weigh the latest guidance updates.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Austin on September 4?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 4?
92-93°F 29%
90-91°F 25%
94-95°F 19%
96-97°F 15%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 4, 2026
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
25%
92-93°F
29%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
15%
98-99°F
13%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
2%
106°F or higher
2%
92-93°F 29%
90-91°F 25%
94-95°F 19%
96-97°F 15%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 4, 2026
87°F or below
$124 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$182 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
25%
92-93°F
$44 Vol.
29%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
19%
96-97°F
$87 Vol.
15%
98-99°F
$13 Vol.
13%
100-101°F
$10 Vol.
8%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
4%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
2%
106°F or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project a daily maximum near 96–99°F for Austin on September 4, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting warm, humid Gulf air under partly cloudy skies with only a 20% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This setup favors the market’s clustered 92–97°F outcomes, as scattered convection could reduce peak insolation and cap temperatures in the mid-90s while clearer intervals allow readings closer to 98–99°F. Historical September averages near 94°F provide context, yet late-summer instability introduces model spread on exact timing of any cooling moisture, sustaining the tight distribution across leading bins as traders weigh the latest guidance updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$416Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project a daily maximum near 96–99°F for Austin on September 4, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting warm, humid Gulf air under partly cloudy skies with only a 20% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This setup favors the market’s clustered 92–97°F outcomes, as scattered convection could reduce peak insolation and cap temperatures in the mid-90s while clearer intervals allow readings closer to 98–99°F. Historical September averages near 94°F provide context, yet late-summer instability introduces model spread on exact timing of any cooling moisture, sustaining the tight distribution across leading bins as traders weigh the latest guidance updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$416Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project a daily maximum near 96–99°F for Austin on September 4, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting warm, humid Gulf air under partly cloudy skies with only a 20% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This setup favors the market’s clustered 92–97°F outcomes, as scattered convection could reduce peak insolation and cap temperatures in the mid-90s while clearer intervals allow readings closer to 98–99°F. Historical September averages near 94°F provide context, yet late-summer instability introduces model spread on exact timing of any cooling moisture, sustaining the tight distribution across leading bins as traders weigh the latest guidance updates.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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