Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project mainly fine, dry conditions for September 25 with a 27–32 °C range under moderating northeast monsoon flow and light east-to-southeast winds. This setup favors strong daytime solar heating and subsidence, pushing maxima toward the upper end of late-September climatology (historical daily means near 31–32 °C). Trader consensus clustering on 30–33 °C reflects agreement among guidance on limited cloud cover and minimal moisture, while the spread to 29 °C or 34 °C captures residual uncertainty in exact wind strength, boundary-layer mixing, or any distant tropical cyclone influence that could alter the thermal profile by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing remain key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 25?
32°C 35%
31°C 25%
30°C 21%
33°C 19%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
21%
31°C
25%
32°C
35%
33°C
19%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 35%
31°C 25%
30°C 21%
33°C 19%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
21%
31°C
25%
32°C
35%
33°C
19%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project mainly fine, dry conditions for September 25 with a 27–32 °C range under moderating northeast monsoon flow and light east-to-southeast winds. This setup favors strong daytime solar heating and subsidence, pushing maxima toward the upper end of late-September climatology (historical daily means near 31–32 °C). Trader consensus clustering on 30–33 °C reflects agreement among guidance on limited cloud cover and minimal moisture, while the spread to 29 °C or 34 °C captures residual uncertainty in exact wind strength, boundary-layer mixing, or any distant tropical cyclone influence that could alter the thermal profile by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing remain key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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