**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a peak temperature of 25–26°C in Istanbul on September 21, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow and negligible precipitation risk.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes (25°C at 62.5%, 24°C at 25.0%, 26°C at 13.0%), reflecting trader weighting of official and ensemble guidance. Recent observations show a cooling trend after early-September warmth, with high pressure maintaining clear conditions that support daytime heating before a frontal system arrives on the 22nd. September climatology features average highs near 22–24°C; the current setup sits modestly above normal due to reduced cloud cover and weak winds limiting mixing. Model agreement on the 25–26°C range, combined with low uncertainty in the short-range forecast, underpins the strong market preference for these values, while the small probabilities assigned to 27°C or higher capture residual upside risk from localized heating or slight forecast shifts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 21?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 21?
25°C 61%
24°C 26%
26°C 13%
27°C 2%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 21, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
26%
25°C
61%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 61%
24°C 26%
26°C 13%
27°C 2%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 21, 2026
20°C or below
$111 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$101 Vol.
1%
22°C
$103 Vol.
1%
23°C
$496 Vol.
2%
24°C
$749 Vol.
26%
25°C
$536 Vol.
61%
26°C
$497 Vol.
13%
27°C
$166 Vol.
2%
28°C
$101 Vol.
1%
29°C
$39 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$59 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a peak temperature of 25–26°C in Istanbul on September 21, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow and negligible precipitation risk.**
This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes (25°C at 62.5%, 24°C at 25.0%, 26°C at 13.0%), reflecting trader weighting of official and ensemble guidance. Recent observations show a cooling trend after early-September warmth, with high pressure maintaining clear conditions that support daytime heating before a frontal system arrives on the 22nd. September climatology features average highs near 22–24°C; the current setup sits modestly above normal due to reduced cloud cover and weak winds limiting mixing.
Model agreement on the 25–26°C range, combined with low uncertainty in the short-range forecast, underpins the strong market preference for these values, while the small probabilities assigned to 27°C or higher capture residual upside risk from localized heating or slight forecast shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,407Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a peak temperature of 25–26°C in Istanbul on September 21, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow and negligible precipitation risk.**
This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes (25°C at 62.5%, 24°C at 25.0%, 26°C at 13.0%), reflecting trader weighting of official and ensemble guidance. Recent observations show a cooling trend after early-September warmth, with high pressure maintaining clear conditions that support daytime heating before a frontal system arrives on the 22nd. September climatology features average highs near 22–24°C; the current setup sits modestly above normal due to reduced cloud cover and weak winds limiting mixing.
Model agreement on the 25–26°C range, combined with low uncertainty in the short-range forecast, underpins the strong market preference for these values, while the small probabilities assigned to 27°C or higher capture residual upside risk from localized heating or slight forecast shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,407Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a peak temperature of 25–26°C in Istanbul on September 21, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow and negligible precipitation risk.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes (25°C at 62.5%, 24°C at 25.0%, 26°C at 13.0%), reflecting trader weighting of official and ensemble guidance. Recent observations show a cooling trend after early-September warmth, with high pressure maintaining clear conditions that support daytime heating before a frontal system arrives on the 22nd. September climatology features average highs near 22–24°C; the current setup sits modestly above normal due to reduced cloud cover and weak winds limiting mixing. Model agreement on the 25–26°C range, combined with low uncertainty in the short-range forecast, underpins the strong market preference for these values, while the small probabilities assigned to 27°C or higher capture residual upside risk from localized heating or slight forecast shifts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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