Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on September 21 will likely settle between 18–20 °C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity near 60–75 % that limits strong radiative cooling. Dew points around 14–16 °C and surface pressure near 1017–1020 hPa support gradual temperature decline after daytime highs of 25–27 °C. Ensemble spreads in global and regional models create the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 17–20 °C, while probabilities collapse above 21 °C due to the absence of warm advection. Updated runs later today from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine the exact minimum before the 24-hour observation window closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 21?
15°C or below 100%
16°C 95%
18°C 50%
19°C 50%
15°C or below
100%
16°C
95%
17°C
49%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
15°C or below 100%
16°C 95%
18°C 50%
19°C 50%
15°C or below
100%
16°C
95%
17°C
49%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on September 21 will likely settle between 18–20 °C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity near 60–75 % that limits strong radiative cooling. Dew points around 14–16 °C and surface pressure near 1017–1020 hPa support gradual temperature decline after daytime highs of 25–27 °C. Ensemble spreads in global and regional models create the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 17–20 °C, while probabilities collapse above 21 °C due to the absence of warm advection. Updated runs later today from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine the exact minimum before the 24-hour observation window closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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