Latest forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international ensembles indicate thunderstorms and associated cloud cover will moderate peak temperatures in Shenzhen on September 21 to the low 30s Celsius, driving the near-even market-implied odds for 31°C versus 32°C. Convective activity tied to seasonal monsoon influences and high humidity reduces solar insolation during peak heating hours, while steering patterns and storm timing introduce 1–2°C uncertainty across model runs. Stronger or earlier precipitation could cap the daily maximum near 31°C, whereas partial clearing might allow brief warming to 33°C. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables for traders assessing resolution thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 21?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 21?
31°C 30%
32°C 25%
33°C 20%
34°C 20%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 21, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
15%
29°C
14%
30°C
15%
31°C
30%
32°C
31%
33°C
20%
34°C
20%
35°C or higher
19%
31°C 30%
32°C 25%
33°C 20%
34°C 20%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 21, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
15%
29°C
$0 Vol.
14%
30°C
$0 Vol.
15%
31°C
$0 Vol.
30%
32°C
$20 Vol.
31%
33°C
$10 Vol.
20%
34°C
$0 Vol.
20%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international ensembles indicate thunderstorms and associated cloud cover will moderate peak temperatures in Shenzhen on September 21 to the low 30s Celsius, driving the near-even market-implied odds for 31°C versus 32°C. Convective activity tied to seasonal monsoon influences and high humidity reduces solar insolation during peak heating hours, while steering patterns and storm timing introduce 1–2°C uncertainty across model runs. Stronger or earlier precipitation could cap the daily maximum near 31°C, whereas partial clearing might allow brief warming to 33°C. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables for traders assessing resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$30Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international ensembles indicate thunderstorms and associated cloud cover will moderate peak temperatures in Shenzhen on September 21 to the low 30s Celsius, driving the near-even market-implied odds for 31°C versus 32°C. Convective activity tied to seasonal monsoon influences and high humidity reduces solar insolation during peak heating hours, while steering patterns and storm timing introduce 1–2°C uncertainty across model runs. Stronger or earlier precipitation could cap the daily maximum near 31°C, whereas partial clearing might allow brief warming to 33°C. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables for traders assessing resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international ensembles indicate thunderstorms and associated cloud cover will moderate peak temperatures in Shenzhen on September 21 to the low 30s Celsius, driving the near-even market-implied odds for 31°C versus 32°C. Convective activity tied to seasonal monsoon influences and high humidity reduces solar insolation during peak heating hours, while steering patterns and storm timing introduce 1–2°C uncertainty across model runs. Stronger or earlier precipitation could cap the daily maximum near 31°C, whereas partial clearing might allow brief warming to 33°C. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables for traders assessing resolution thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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