Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate overnight lows of 79–81°F for Houston on September 21, supporting the market's tight clustering around 76–79°F bins as the implied minimum. Persistent high humidity, light southeast winds, and a stable warm air mass without approaching cold fronts or significant cloud cover keep radiative cooling limited, aligning with late-September climatology where average daily minima hover near 71–72°F but recent days have run several degrees warmer. Model consensus from NOAA shows minimal day-to-day shifts, though any revised evening guidance or unexpected clear-sky enhancement could nudge the actual low. Traders weigh these stable conditions against historical variability in minimum temperatures recorded at official stations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Houston on September 21?
76-77°F 43%
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 19%
74-75°F 11%
69°F or below
5%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
7%
88°F or higher
5%
76-77°F 43%
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 19%
74-75°F 11%
69°F or below
5%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
7%
88°F or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 19, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate overnight lows of 79–81°F for Houston on September 21, supporting the market's tight clustering around 76–79°F bins as the implied minimum. Persistent high humidity, light southeast winds, and a stable warm air mass without approaching cold fronts or significant cloud cover keep radiative cooling limited, aligning with late-September climatology where average daily minima hover near 71–72°F but recent days have run several degrees warmer. Model consensus from NOAA shows minimal day-to-day shifts, though any revised evening guidance or unexpected clear-sky enhancement could nudge the actual low. Traders weigh these stable conditions against historical variability in minimum temperatures recorded at official stations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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