Shenzhen's minimum temperature on September 21 hinges on competing air-mass influences and model spread in a subtropical setting where seasonal transition amplifies variability. A northerly surge or strengthening high-pressure ridge could advect cooler continental air, enhancing nocturnal radiative cooling and pushing the low toward 22 °C or below, while persistent southerly monsoon flow or weak tropical disturbance would maintain warm, moist advection and limit cooling to 32 °C or higher. Cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat-island effects further modulate the diurnal range. With leading outcomes nearly even, traders are pricing genuine forecast uncertainty typical this time of year, awaiting updated CMA guidance and overnight observations that could resolve the temperature trajectory.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 21?
32°C or higher 90%
22°C or below 89%
25°C 40%
28°C 39%
22°C or below
89%
23°C
16%
24°C
24%
25°C
40%
26°C
24%
27°C
27%
28°C
39%
29°C
3%
30°C
16%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
90%
32°C or higher 90%
22°C or below 89%
25°C 40%
28°C 39%
22°C or below
89%
23°C
16%
24°C
24%
25°C
40%
26°C
24%
27°C
27%
28°C
39%
29°C
3%
30°C
16%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Shenzhen's minimum temperature on September 21 hinges on competing air-mass influences and model spread in a subtropical setting where seasonal transition amplifies variability. A northerly surge or strengthening high-pressure ridge could advect cooler continental air, enhancing nocturnal radiative cooling and pushing the low toward 22 °C or below, while persistent southerly monsoon flow or weak tropical disturbance would maintain warm, moist advection and limit cooling to 32 °C or higher. Cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat-island effects further modulate the diurnal range. With leading outcomes nearly even, traders are pricing genuine forecast uncertainty typical this time of year, awaiting updated CMA guidance and overnight observations that could resolve the temperature trajectory.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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