**Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources such as GFS and ECMWF converge on a daytime maximum of 30–31°C for Tel Aviv on September 21, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions.** These factors support strong solar insolation during peak heating hours while sea breezes prevent significant exceedance of seasonal norms. Recent observational data and model runs show stable atmospheric patterns with no incoming fronts or heat-wave amplification, keeping the 31°C outcome as the market leader at 56% implied probability. The 30°C bin trails at 19.5%, reflecting minor model spread in exact peak timing and urban heat-island effects. With resolution hinging on official maximum readings, traders are monitoring any late-day adjustments from surface observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 21?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 21?
31°C 56%
27°C or below 22.2%
30°C 20%
32°C 4.4%
BAGO
$41,846 Vol.
BAGO
$41,846 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
27°C or below
18%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
20%
31°C
56%
32°C
4%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 56%
27°C or below 22.2%
30°C 20%
32°C 4.4%
BAGO
$41,846 Vol.
BAGO
$41,846 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
27°C or below
$8,260 Vol.
18%
28°C
$3,582 Vol.
1%
29°C
$3,028 Vol.
2%
30°C
$7,934 Vol.
20%
31°C
$8,264 Vol.
56%
32°C
$4,882 Vol.
4%
33°C
$2,877 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$661 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,248 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,337 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$36 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources such as GFS and ECMWF converge on a daytime maximum of 30–31°C for Tel Aviv on September 21, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions.** These factors support strong solar insolation during peak heating hours while sea breezes prevent significant exceedance of seasonal norms. Recent observational data and model runs show stable atmospheric patterns with no incoming fronts or heat-wave amplification, keeping the 31°C outcome as the market leader at 56% implied probability. The 30°C bin trails at 19.5%, reflecting minor model spread in exact peak timing and urban heat-island effects. With resolution hinging on official maximum readings, traders are monitoring any late-day adjustments from surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$41,846Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources such as GFS and ECMWF converge on a daytime maximum of 30–31°C for Tel Aviv on September 21, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions.** These factors support strong solar insolation during peak heating hours while sea breezes prevent significant exceedance of seasonal norms. Recent observational data and model runs show stable atmospheric patterns with no incoming fronts or heat-wave amplification, keeping the 31°C outcome as the market leader at 56% implied probability. The 30°C bin trails at 19.5%, reflecting minor model spread in exact peak timing and urban heat-island effects. With resolution hinging on official maximum readings, traders are monitoring any late-day adjustments from surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,846Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources such as GFS and ECMWF converge on a daytime maximum of 30–31°C for Tel Aviv on September 21, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions.** These factors support strong solar insolation during peak heating hours while sea breezes prevent significant exceedance of seasonal norms. Recent observational data and model runs show stable atmospheric patterns with no incoming fronts or heat-wave amplification, keeping the 31°C outcome as the market leader at 56% implied probability. The 30°C bin trails at 19.5%, reflecting minor model spread in exact peak timing and urban heat-island effects. With resolution hinging on official maximum readings, traders are monitoring any late-day adjustments from surface observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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