Current numerical weather model consensus positions Mexico City's daily maximum near 26°C for August 16, reflecting typical rainy-season patterns at 2,240 meters elevation where afternoon cloud cover and showers often limit peak heating. August climatology shows average highs around 24°C, with urban heat island effects and variable humidity adding modest upward variability; recent model runs have converged on 25–27°C outcomes amid stable steering patterns and no strong high-pressure ridge. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C because forecast uncertainty around exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity favors outcomes clustered near the central tendency rather than extremes. Updated guidance from agencies like CONAGUA will refine these probabilities as the event window approaches.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 16?
26°C 54%
25°C 24%
27°C 20%
24°C 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 16, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
24%
26°C
54%
27°C
20%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 54%
25°C 24%
27°C 20%
24°C 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 16, 2026
21°C or below
$15 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$490 Vol.
1%
24°C
$196 Vol.
4%
25°C
$205 Vol.
24%
26°C
$344 Vol.
54%
27°C
$166 Vol.
20%
28°C
$200 Vol.
3%
29°C
$22 Vol.
1%
30°C
$31 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$76 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather model consensus positions Mexico City's daily maximum near 26°C for August 16, reflecting typical rainy-season patterns at 2,240 meters elevation where afternoon cloud cover and showers often limit peak heating. August climatology shows average highs around 24°C, with urban heat island effects and variable humidity adding modest upward variability; recent model runs have converged on 25–27°C outcomes amid stable steering patterns and no strong high-pressure ridge. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C because forecast uncertainty around exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity favors outcomes clustered near the central tendency rather than extremes. Updated guidance from agencies like CONAGUA will refine these probabilities as the event window approaches.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,761Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather model consensus positions Mexico City's daily maximum near 26°C for August 16, reflecting typical rainy-season patterns at 2,240 meters elevation where afternoon cloud cover and showers often limit peak heating. August climatology shows average highs around 24°C, with urban heat island effects and variable humidity adding modest upward variability; recent model runs have converged on 25–27°C outcomes amid stable steering patterns and no strong high-pressure ridge. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C because forecast uncertainty around exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity favors outcomes clustered near the central tendency rather than extremes. Updated guidance from agencies like CONAGUA will refine these probabilities as the event window approaches.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,761Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather model consensus positions Mexico City's daily maximum near 26°C for August 16, reflecting typical rainy-season patterns at 2,240 meters elevation where afternoon cloud cover and showers often limit peak heating. August climatology shows average highs around 24°C, with urban heat island effects and variable humidity adding modest upward variability; recent model runs have converged on 25–27°C outcomes amid stable steering patterns and no strong high-pressure ridge. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C because forecast uncertainty around exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity favors outcomes clustered near the central tendency rather than extremes. Updated guidance from agencies like CONAGUA will refine these probabilities as the event window approaches.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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