Forecast models and climatological data position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s July 16 high, aligning with the market’s concentration around 25°C (39.5%). The city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) produces moderate baseline temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season—historically the wettest month—brings frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating and cap extremes. Recent extended forecasts from multiple sources consistently show highs near 24°C with lows around 14°C, reflecting typical July conditions where mean maxima hover at 24°C and rarely exceed 26°C. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, tempered by the inherent variability in convective timing and intensity that could nudge the daily peak slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late shifts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$61,634 Vol.
$61,634 Vol.
Jul 16, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$61,634 Vol.
$61,634 Vol.
Jul 16, 2026
19°C or below
$3,141 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,645 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,487 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,572 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,820 Vol.
No
24°C
$12,613 Vol.
No
25°C
$18,910 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$4,711 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,424 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,764 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$2,547 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and climatological data position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s July 16 high, aligning with the market’s concentration around 25°C (39.5%). The city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) produces moderate baseline temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season—historically the wettest month—brings frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating and cap extremes. Recent extended forecasts from multiple sources consistently show highs near 24°C with lows around 14°C, reflecting typical July conditions where mean maxima hover at 24°C and rarely exceed 26°C. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, tempered by the inherent variability in convective timing and intensity that could nudge the daily peak slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$61,634Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and climatological data position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s July 16 high, aligning with the market’s concentration around 25°C (39.5%). The city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) produces moderate baseline temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season—historically the wettest month—brings frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating and cap extremes. Recent extended forecasts from multiple sources consistently show highs near 24°C with lows around 14°C, reflecting typical July conditions where mean maxima hover at 24°C and rarely exceed 26°C. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, tempered by the inherent variability in convective timing and intensity that could nudge the daily peak slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61,634Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Forecast models and climatological data position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s July 16 high, aligning with the market’s concentration around 25°C (39.5%). The city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) produces moderate baseline temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season—historically the wettest month—brings frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating and cap extremes. Recent extended forecasts from multiple sources consistently show highs near 24°C with lows around 14°C, reflecting typical July conditions where mean maxima hover at 24°C and rarely exceed 26°C. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, tempered by the inherent variability in convective timing and intensity that could nudge the daily peak slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late shifts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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