Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles converge on a daytime maximum of 23–25°C for Mexico City on September 6, with widespread cloud cover, afternoon showers, and light southwesterly winds limiting solar heating and evaporative cooling. Seasonal late-summer moisture from the Pacific and Gulf influences, combined with the high-elevation basin setting, favors convective development that caps peaks below historical September averages near 24–25°C. Recent runs show consistent timing of precipitation around midday onward, suppressing the 26°C+ outcome to low implied probability while concentrating trader consensus on 24°C as the modal resolution. Updated model guidance expected overnight could refine the exact peak if rain timing shifts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 6?
24°C 46%
25°C 33%
23°C 15%
26°C or higher 6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
15%
24°C
46%
25°C
33%
26°C or higher
6%
24°C 46%
25°C 33%
23°C 15%
26°C or higher 6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
15%
24°C
46%
25°C
33%
26°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles converge on a daytime maximum of 23–25°C for Mexico City on September 6, with widespread cloud cover, afternoon showers, and light southwesterly winds limiting solar heating and evaporative cooling. Seasonal late-summer moisture from the Pacific and Gulf influences, combined with the high-elevation basin setting, favors convective development that caps peaks below historical September averages near 24–25°C. Recent runs show consistent timing of precipitation around midday onward, suppressing the 26°C+ outcome to low implied probability while concentrating trader consensus on 24°C as the modal resolution. Updated model guidance expected overnight could refine the exact peak if rain timing shifts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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