Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 17–18 °C in Munich on September 21, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a passing front and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This follows warmer conditions near 24 °C on September 20. Historical September averages near 18.9 °C provide context, yet the current pattern favors values slightly below normal. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this guidance, as traders weigh model agreement against typical forecast uncertainty in autumnal steering flows and boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs overnight will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Munich on September 21?
17°C 44%
18°C 32%
16°C 20%
19°C 6%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
20%
17°C
44%
18°C
32%
19°C
6%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 44%
18°C 32%
16°C 20%
19°C 6%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
20%
17°C
44%
18°C
32%
19°C
6%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 17–18 °C in Munich on September 21, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a passing front and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This follows warmer conditions near 24 °C on September 20. Historical September averages near 18.9 °C provide context, yet the current pattern favors values slightly below normal. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this guidance, as traders weigh model agreement against typical forecast uncertainty in autumnal steering flows and boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs overnight will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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