**Forecast consensus points to a high of 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 4, driving the 69.5% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Multiple models, including those from WindBorne, WeatherBug, and Yr.no, project daytime peaks of 31–32°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 5–9 mph, and negligible precipitation. These conditions align with typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns, where September highs average near 31°C with low variability absent major synoptic shifts. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover support modest warming to the upper end of the 30–33°C range, explaining the secondary weighting on 31°C (17.5%) and 33°C (11.0%). No significant model disagreements or incoming weather systems have emerged in the latest runs, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the current 32°C lead as markets await official daily maximum readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4?
32°C 70%
31°C 18%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 4, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
18%
32°C
70%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 70%
31°C 18%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 4, 2026
28°C or below
$597 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$347 Vol.
1%
30°C
$202 Vol.
3%
31°C
$835 Vol.
18%
32°C
$1,597 Vol.
70%
33°C
$1,175 Vol.
11%
34°C
$169 Vol.
2%
35°C
$258 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$455 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$440 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$297 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a high of 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 4, driving the 69.5% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Multiple models, including those from WindBorne, WeatherBug, and Yr.no, project daytime peaks of 31–32°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 5–9 mph, and negligible precipitation. These conditions align with typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns, where September highs average near 31°C with low variability absent major synoptic shifts. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover support modest warming to the upper end of the 30–33°C range, explaining the secondary weighting on 31°C (17.5%) and 33°C (11.0%). No significant model disagreements or incoming weather systems have emerged in the latest runs, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the current 32°C lead as markets await official daily maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,372Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a high of 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 4, driving the 69.5% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Multiple models, including those from WindBorne, WeatherBug, and Yr.no, project daytime peaks of 31–32°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 5–9 mph, and negligible precipitation. These conditions align with typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns, where September highs average near 31°C with low variability absent major synoptic shifts. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover support modest warming to the upper end of the 30–33°C range, explaining the secondary weighting on 31°C (17.5%) and 33°C (11.0%). No significant model disagreements or incoming weather systems have emerged in the latest runs, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the current 32°C lead as markets await official daily maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,372Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus points to a high of 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 4, driving the 69.5% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Multiple models, including those from WindBorne, WeatherBug, and Yr.no, project daytime peaks of 31–32°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 5–9 mph, and negligible precipitation. These conditions align with typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns, where September highs average near 31°C with low variability absent major synoptic shifts. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover support modest warming to the upper end of the 30–33°C range, explaining the secondary weighting on 31°C (17.5%) and 33°C (11.0%). No significant model disagreements or incoming weather systems have emerged in the latest runs, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the current 32°C lead as markets await official daily maximum readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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