Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo's September 3 maximum will likely fall between 29–32 °C, with 30 °C and 31 °C emerging as the tightest market-implied outcomes. Persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 70–80 %, and scattered thunderstorms are expected to limit full solar heating while keeping the urban heat island effect active. Minor differences among ensemble runs—particularly timing of cloud cover and precipitation—create the narrow spread between 30 °C and 31 °C peaks, with any earlier or lighter rain favoring the higher end and stronger afternoon storms capping it near 29 °C. Updated model guidance ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 3?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 3?
30°C 34%
31°C 30%
32°C 15%
29°C 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
14%
30°C
34%
31°C
30%
32°C
15%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 34%
31°C 30%
32°C 15%
29°C 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
$976 Vol.
1%
26°C
$257 Vol.
1%
27°C
$14 Vol.
3%
28°C
$316 Vol.
6%
29°C
$425 Vol.
14%
30°C
$131 Vol.
34%
31°C
$420 Vol.
30%
32°C
$388 Vol.
15%
33°C
$91 Vol.
3%
34°C
$55 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$130 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo's September 3 maximum will likely fall between 29–32 °C, with 30 °C and 31 °C emerging as the tightest market-implied outcomes. Persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 70–80 %, and scattered thunderstorms are expected to limit full solar heating while keeping the urban heat island effect active. Minor differences among ensemble runs—particularly timing of cloud cover and precipitation—create the narrow spread between 30 °C and 31 °C peaks, with any earlier or lighter rain favoring the higher end and stronger afternoon storms capping it near 29 °C. Updated model guidance ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,205Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo's September 3 maximum will likely fall between 29–32 °C, with 30 °C and 31 °C emerging as the tightest market-implied outcomes. Persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 70–80 %, and scattered thunderstorms are expected to limit full solar heating while keeping the urban heat island effect active. Minor differences among ensemble runs—particularly timing of cloud cover and precipitation—create the narrow spread between 30 °C and 31 °C peaks, with any earlier or lighter rain favoring the higher end and stronger afternoon storms capping it near 29 °C. Updated model guidance ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,205Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo's September 3 maximum will likely fall between 29–32 °C, with 30 °C and 31 °C emerging as the tightest market-implied outcomes. Persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 70–80 %, and scattered thunderstorms are expected to limit full solar heating while keeping the urban heat island effect active. Minor differences among ensemble runs—particularly timing of cloud cover and precipitation—create the narrow spread between 30 °C and 31 °C peaks, with any earlier or lighter rain favoring the higher end and stronger afternoon storms capping it near 29 °C. Updated model guidance ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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