**Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and supporting international models point to a maximum of 18–19 °C in Buenos Aires on September 3, 2026, with a modest chance of reaching 20 °C if daytime heating exceeds expectations.** A warm Wednesday (maxima near 21–22 °C) under partly cloudy skies will give way overnight to a cold-front passage or southerly wind shift. This introduces cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, especially in the morning hours. These factors limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping the afternoon peak in the upper teens. Model consensus and climatological context reinforce the tight spread: September’s long-term average daily maximum is approximately 19 °C, and the incoming air mass is only modestly cooler than seasonal norms. Minor differences among leading outcomes (18 °C vs. 19 °C vs. 20 °C) hinge on the precise timing of frontal clearing, total cloud thickness, and wind speeds that control boundary-layer mixing. Later-day sunshine could add 1–2 °C if the front weakens faster than currently projected, while lingering rain or stronger westerlies would cap readings nearer 18 °C. Traders appear to weigh the latest SMN guidance most heavily, producing the closely matched probabilities observed in the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 3?
19°C 39%
20°C 33%
18°C 15%
21°C 6%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
15%
19°C
39%
20°C
33%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
19°C 39%
20°C 33%
18°C 15%
21°C 6%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
15%
19°C
39%
20°C
33%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and supporting international models point to a maximum of 18–19 °C in Buenos Aires on September 3, 2026, with a modest chance of reaching 20 °C if daytime heating exceeds expectations.** A warm Wednesday (maxima near 21–22 °C) under partly cloudy skies will give way overnight to a cold-front passage or southerly wind shift. This introduces cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, especially in the morning hours. These factors limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping the afternoon peak in the upper teens. Model consensus and climatological context reinforce the tight spread: September’s long-term average daily maximum is approximately 19 °C, and the incoming air mass is only modestly cooler than seasonal norms. Minor differences among leading outcomes (18 °C vs. 19 °C vs. 20 °C) hinge on the precise timing of frontal clearing, total cloud thickness, and wind speeds that control boundary-layer mixing. Later-day sunshine could add 1–2 °C if the front weakens faster than currently projected, while lingering rain or stronger westerlies would cap readings nearer 18 °C. Traders appear to weigh the latest SMN guidance most heavily, producing the closely matched probabilities observed in the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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