**No joint Likud–Religious Zionist Party (RZP) list is under active negotiation.** RZP, led by Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, finalized its independent Knesset slate after July 2026 primaries and continues preparing to submit it separately ahead of the October 27 election. Recent polls show RZP hovering near or below the 3.25% threshold, prompting right-wing consolidation talks focused on Otzma Yehudit (Itamar Ben-Gvir) or Smotrich partnering with figures such as Moshe Feiglin or Ofer Winter’s new party. Netanyahu has publicly urged Ben-Gvir and Smotrich to unite, but Ben-Gvir has rejected the idea, and Likud is advancing its own primary-selected list without RZP slots. These developments, combined with historical precedent of RZP running separately or with other far-right factions, underpin traders’ strong consensus against a Likud–RZP joint run.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Likud and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Likud and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**No joint Likud–Religious Zionist Party (RZP) list is under active negotiation.** RZP, led by Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, finalized its independent Knesset slate after July 2026 primaries and continues preparing to submit it separately ahead of the October 27 election. Recent polls show RZP hovering near or below the 3.25% threshold, prompting right-wing consolidation talks focused on Otzma Yehudit (Itamar Ben-Gvir) or Smotrich partnering with figures such as Moshe Feiglin or Ofer Winter’s new party. Netanyahu has publicly urged Ben-Gvir and Smotrich to unite, but Ben-Gvir has rejected the idea, and Likud is advancing its own primary-selected list without RZP slots. These developments, combined with historical precedent of RZP running separately or with other far-right factions, underpin traders’ strong consensus against a Likud–RZP joint run.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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