Forecast models from agencies like those underlying globalmeteo and WeatherBug indicate a minimum near 12–14°C for Amsterdam on September 21, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge with light westerly winds and partly to mostly cloudy skies that moderate but do not fully suppress radiative cooling overnight. Historical September averages place the daily low around 10.5°C, yet current conditions reflect a mild late-summer pattern with limited cold advection. Trader consensus clusters on 11–14°C outcomes because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C across ensemble runs, while probabilities drop sharply below 10°C or above 15°C given the absence of strong frontal systems or clear-sky extremes in the latest guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 21?
12°C 40%
15°C 38%
13°C 29%
11°C 19%
7°C or below
2%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
16%
11°C
19%
12°C
40%
13°C
29%
14°C
21%
15°C
38%
16°C
14%
17°C or higher
2%
12°C 40%
15°C 38%
13°C 29%
11°C 19%
7°C or below
2%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
16%
11°C
19%
12°C
40%
13°C
29%
14°C
21%
15°C
38%
16°C
14%
17°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like those underlying globalmeteo and WeatherBug indicate a minimum near 12–14°C for Amsterdam on September 21, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge with light westerly winds and partly to mostly cloudy skies that moderate but do not fully suppress radiative cooling overnight. Historical September averages place the daily low around 10.5°C, yet current conditions reflect a mild late-summer pattern with limited cold advection. Trader consensus clusters on 11–14°C outcomes because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C across ensemble runs, while probabilities drop sharply below 10°C or above 15°C given the absence of strong frontal systems or clear-sky extremes in the latest guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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