Forecast models from NOAA and NWS project Austin overnight lows near 73–78°F on August 24 under persistent high pressure, with historical August averages around 75°F. However, a noted tropical storm threat for August 23–25 introduces forecast spread, as increased moisture, cloud cover, or rainfall could enhance radiative cooling and push the minimum toward or below 73°F, while continued clear, hot conditions might keep it near or above 78°F. This genuine model divergence—particularly in steering patterns and timing of any weak front or moisture surge—explains the near-even market-implied odds on the 73°F-or-below versus 92°F-or-higher outcomes, with middle buckets reflecting lower consensus around typical values. Updated model runs and NHC briefings in the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Austin on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 24?
92°F or higher 92%
73°F or below 48%
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 36%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 24, 2026
73°F or below
48%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
36%
92°F or higher
92%
92°F or higher 92%
73°F or below 48%
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 36%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 24, 2026
73°F or below
$0 Vol.
48%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
19%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
19%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
19%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
19%
82-83°F
$4 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
36%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
36%
88-89°F
$5 Vol.
36%
90-91°F
$5 Vol.
36%
92°F or higher
$5 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and NWS project Austin overnight lows near 73–78°F on August 24 under persistent high pressure, with historical August averages around 75°F. However, a noted tropical storm threat for August 23–25 introduces forecast spread, as increased moisture, cloud cover, or rainfall could enhance radiative cooling and push the minimum toward or below 73°F, while continued clear, hot conditions might keep it near or above 78°F. This genuine model divergence—particularly in steering patterns and timing of any weak front or moisture surge—explains the near-even market-implied odds on the 73°F-or-below versus 92°F-or-higher outcomes, with middle buckets reflecting lower consensus around typical values. Updated model runs and NHC briefings in the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$29Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and NWS project Austin overnight lows near 73–78°F on August 24 under persistent high pressure, with historical August averages around 75°F. However, a noted tropical storm threat for August 23–25 introduces forecast spread, as increased moisture, cloud cover, or rainfall could enhance radiative cooling and push the minimum toward or below 73°F, while continued clear, hot conditions might keep it near or above 78°F. This genuine model divergence—particularly in steering patterns and timing of any weak front or moisture surge—explains the near-even market-implied odds on the 73°F-or-below versus 92°F-or-higher outcomes, with middle buckets reflecting lower consensus around typical values. Updated model runs and NHC briefings in the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA and NWS project Austin overnight lows near 73–78°F on August 24 under persistent high pressure, with historical August averages around 75°F. However, a noted tropical storm threat for August 23–25 introduces forecast spread, as increased moisture, cloud cover, or rainfall could enhance radiative cooling and push the minimum toward or below 73°F, while continued clear, hot conditions might keep it near or above 78°F. This genuine model divergence—particularly in steering patterns and timing of any weak front or moisture surge—explains the near-even market-implied odds on the 73°F-or-below versus 92°F-or-higher outcomes, with middle buckets reflecting lower consensus around typical values. Updated model runs and NHC briefings in the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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