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icon for Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?

Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?

icon for Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?

Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?

Ended: Aug 24

Aug 30

Aug 31

Sep 1

Ended: Aug 24

Aug 30

Aug 31

Sep 1

70-71°F 99.5%

68-69°F 1.0%

61°F or below <1%

62-63°F <1%

Polymarket

$3,367 Vol.

70-71°F 99.5%

68-69°F 1.0%

61°F or below <1%

62-63°F <1%

Polymarket

$3,367 Vol.

61°F or below

$190 Vol.

No

62-63°F

$245 Vol.

No

64-65°F

$371 Vol.

No

66-67°F

$268 Vol.

No

68-69°F

$127 Vol.

No

70-71°F

$566 Vol.

Yes

72-73°F

$516 Vol.

No

74-75°F

$120 Vol.

No

76-77°F

$305 Vol.

No

78-79°F

$200 Vol.

No

80°F or higher

$460 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 69–71°F minimum for Los Angeles on August 24, 2026, driven by a regional heat wave that suppressed typical nocturnal cooling.** Official National Weather Service observations recorded a 69°F low at both downtown Los Angeles and LAX, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70–71°F bin (56%) and 68–69°F bin (29%). A persistent marine-layer inversion failed to develop strongly overnight, while warmer-than-normal sea-surface temperatures along the coast reduced the usual radiative cooling and stratus-driven chill. Daytime highs reached 84–98°F amid the broader Southern California heat wave, with minimal diurnal temperature drop as southwesterly flow and elevated dew points maintained overnight warmth near 69–70°F. Historical August minima at LAX average ~65°F, but the 2026 pattern deviated upward by 4–5°F due to the synoptic setup. Market-implied probabilities align closely with these verified measurements and forecast model consensus from the prior 24–48 hours, which showed little chance of dropping into the mid-60s or below.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,367
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 24, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 69–71°F minimum for Los Angeles on August 24, 2026, driven by a regional heat wave that suppressed typical nocturnal cooling.** Official National Weather Service observations recorded a 69°F low at both downtown Los Angeles and LAX, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70–71°F bin (56%) and 68–69°F bin (29%). A persistent marine-layer inversion failed to develop strongly overnight, while warmer-than-normal sea-surface temperatures along the coast reduced the usual radiative cooling and stratus-driven chill. Daytime highs reached 84–98°F amid the broader Southern California heat wave, with minimal diurnal temperature drop as southwesterly flow and elevated dew points maintained overnight warmth near 69–70°F. Historical August minima at LAX average ~65°F, but the 2026 pattern deviated upward by 4–5°F due to the synoptic setup. Market-implied probabilities align closely with these verified measurements and forecast model consensus from the prior 24–48 hours, which showed little chance of dropping into the mid-60s or below.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,367
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 24, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

Kaugnay

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Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on August 31?

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icon for Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on August 30?

Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on August 30?

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icon for Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 31?

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 31?

49%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 11 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "70-71°F" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "61°F or below" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 22, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?," i-browse ang 11 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?" ay "70-71°F" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "61°F or below" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.