Recent forecasts from multiple models show a cooling trend for Beijing on August 28 driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds associated with a weak cold air intrusion, pulling overnight lows toward 18–20°C after higher readings earlier in the week. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 19–20°C implied probabilities, as traders weigh ensemble guidance on minimum temperature amid typical late-summer variability. Historical August averages near 20°C provide context, yet short-term model spreads and localized urban effects introduce genuine uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes competitive ahead of final observational data.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Beijing on August 28?
20°C 46%
19°C 45%
22°C 37%
18°C 36%
15°C or below
9%
16°C
19%
17°C
24%
18°C
36%
19°C
45%
20°C
46%
21°C
35%
22°C
37%
23°C
13%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
5%
20°C 46%
19°C 45%
22°C 37%
18°C 36%
15°C or below
9%
16°C
19%
17°C
24%
18°C
36%
19°C
45%
20°C
46%
21°C
35%
22°C
37%
23°C
13%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models show a cooling trend for Beijing on August 28 driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds associated with a weak cold air intrusion, pulling overnight lows toward 18–20°C after higher readings earlier in the week. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 19–20°C implied probabilities, as traders weigh ensemble guidance on minimum temperature amid typical late-summer variability. Historical August averages near 20°C provide context, yet short-term model spreads and localized urban effects introduce genuine uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes competitive ahead of final observational data.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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