Strong southeasterly winds and clear skies under high pressure are keeping overnight radiative cooling modest in Cape Town, with official forecasts centering the daily minimum near 12–13°C. Model consensus from GFS and similar sources shows lows of 11–13°C depending on exact wind mixing and dewpoint depression, producing the near-even market-implied odds between 11°C and 13°C. Persistent dry air from the Benguela Current and gale-force gusts limit further temperature drops, while the absence of any frontal systems or cloud cover keeps outcomes tightly clustered around these values rather than lower thresholds. Updated model runs overnight will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 17?
13°C 50%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
9°C 47%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
9%
9°C
47%
10°C
23%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
50%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 50%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
9°C 47%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
9%
9°C
47%
10°C
23%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
50%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong southeasterly winds and clear skies under high pressure are keeping overnight radiative cooling modest in Cape Town, with official forecasts centering the daily minimum near 12–13°C. Model consensus from GFS and similar sources shows lows of 11–13°C depending on exact wind mixing and dewpoint depression, producing the near-even market-implied odds between 11°C and 13°C. Persistent dry air from the Benguela Current and gale-force gusts limit further temperature drops, while the absence of any frontal systems or cloud cover keeps outcomes tightly clustered around these values rather than lower thresholds. Updated model runs overnight will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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