Recent forecasts from global and regional models show Cape Town overnight lows near 13°C on September 4 under clear skies and persistent southeasterly winds, driving the leading 13°C market-implied odds at 30.5%. Clear conditions promote radiative cooling while the Atlantic-sourced flow limits further drops, consistent with spring climatology where minimum temperatures average 11–12°C. Trader consensus remains tight across 10–13°C outcomes because small shifts in wind timing or residual cloud cover from the prior frontal passage could alter the overnight minimum by 2–3°C. Colder tails below 10°C reflect lower-probability scenarios if models underplay cooling, while probabilities above 14°C stay minimal given current guidance. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine these ranges.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 4?
6°C or below 59%
11°C 49%
14°C 49%
15°C 49%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 4, 2026
6°C or below
59%
7°C
10%
8°C
19%
9°C
18%
10°C
29%
11°C
49%
12°C
28%
13°C
31%
14°C
49%
15°C
49%
16°C or higher
2%
6°C or below 59%
11°C 49%
14°C 49%
15°C 49%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 4, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Vol.
59%
7°C
$0 Vol.
10%
8°C
$0 Vol.
19%
9°C
$0 Vol.
18%
10°C
$0 Vol.
29%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
28%
13°C
$0 Vol.
31%
14°C
$0 Vol.
49%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models show Cape Town overnight lows near 13°C on September 4 under clear skies and persistent southeasterly winds, driving the leading 13°C market-implied odds at 30.5%. Clear conditions promote radiative cooling while the Atlantic-sourced flow limits further drops, consistent with spring climatology where minimum temperatures average 11–12°C. Trader consensus remains tight across 10–13°C outcomes because small shifts in wind timing or residual cloud cover from the prior frontal passage could alter the overnight minimum by 2–3°C. Colder tails below 10°C reflect lower-probability scenarios if models underplay cooling, while probabilities above 14°C stay minimal given current guidance. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models show Cape Town overnight lows near 13°C on September 4 under clear skies and persistent southeasterly winds, driving the leading 13°C market-implied odds at 30.5%. Clear conditions promote radiative cooling while the Atlantic-sourced flow limits further drops, consistent with spring climatology where minimum temperatures average 11–12°C. Trader consensus remains tight across 10–13°C outcomes because small shifts in wind timing or residual cloud cover from the prior frontal passage could alter the overnight minimum by 2–3°C. Colder tails below 10°C reflect lower-probability scenarios if models underplay cooling, while probabilities above 14°C stay minimal given current guidance. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models show Cape Town overnight lows near 13°C on September 4 under clear skies and persistent southeasterly winds, driving the leading 13°C market-implied odds at 30.5%. Clear conditions promote radiative cooling while the Atlantic-sourced flow limits further drops, consistent with spring climatology where minimum temperatures average 11–12°C. Trader consensus remains tight across 10–13°C outcomes because small shifts in wind timing or residual cloud cover from the prior frontal passage could alter the overnight minimum by 2–3°C. Colder tails below 10°C reflect lower-probability scenarios if models underplay cooling, while probabilities above 14°C stay minimal given current guidance. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine these ranges.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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