Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 6, 2026, show overnight lows near 25–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, rain, and high humidity typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate. These conditions limit radiative cooling, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for a 25°C minimum (65%) and 24°C (35%). Official model consensus and historical September averages around 24.8°C align with this positioning, while stronger cooling to 23°C or below would require clearer skies or an atypical frontal passage not currently indicated. Traders appear to weigh the latest observational data and short-term model runs, which favor the higher end of the range given ongoing precipitation and dew points near 25°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 6?
23°C 64%
22°C 48%
24°C 36%
20°C or below 11%
20°C or below
11%
21°C
11%
22°C
48%
23°C
64%
24°C
36%
25°C
65%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 64%
22°C 48%
24°C 36%
20°C or below 11%
20°C or below
11%
21°C
11%
22°C
48%
23°C
64%
24°C
36%
25°C
65%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 6, 2026, show overnight lows near 25–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, rain, and high humidity typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate. These conditions limit radiative cooling, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for a 25°C minimum (65%) and 24°C (35%). Official model consensus and historical September averages around 24.8°C align with this positioning, while stronger cooling to 23°C or below would require clearer skies or an atypical frontal passage not currently indicated. Traders appear to weigh the latest observational data and short-term model runs, which favor the higher end of the range given ongoing precipitation and dew points near 25°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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