Recent forecasts from European models indicate Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 8 will likely settle near 12–13 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and westerly flow off the North Sea that limits radiative cooling. Historical averages place the September 8 low at 11.5 °C, but current conditions—dew points near 12–14 °C and winds of 10–15 km/h—support readings a degree or two above that baseline. Market-implied probabilities favor 12 °C (47 %) and 13 °C (26 %) because latest GFS and ECMWF runs converge on these thresholds, with only modest uncertainty from timing of any clearing. Warmer or colder outliers remain low-probability given the stable maritime air mass.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 8?
13°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$3,696 Vol.
$3,696 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$3,696 Vol.
$3,696 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
10°C or below
$789 Vol.
No
11°C
$235 Vol.
No
12°C
$128 Vol.
No
13°C
$317 Vol.
Yes
14°C
$215 Vol.
No
15°C
$242 Vol.
No
16°C
$133 Vol.
No
17°C
$158 Vol.
No
18°C
$225 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,189 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$65 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 8 will likely settle near 12–13 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and westerly flow off the North Sea that limits radiative cooling. Historical averages place the September 8 low at 11.5 °C, but current conditions—dew points near 12–14 °C and winds of 10–15 km/h—support readings a degree or two above that baseline. Market-implied probabilities favor 12 °C (47 %) and 13 °C (26 %) because latest GFS and ECMWF runs converge on these thresholds, with only modest uncertainty from timing of any clearing. Warmer or colder outliers remain low-probability given the stable maritime air mass.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$3,696Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 8 will likely settle near 12–13 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and westerly flow off the North Sea that limits radiative cooling. Historical averages place the September 8 low at 11.5 °C, but current conditions—dew points near 12–14 °C and winds of 10–15 km/h—support readings a degree or two above that baseline. Market-implied probabilities favor 12 °C (47 %) and 13 °C (26 %) because latest GFS and ECMWF runs converge on these thresholds, with only modest uncertainty from timing of any clearing. Warmer or colder outliers remain low-probability given the stable maritime air mass.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,696Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Recent forecasts from European models indicate Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 8 will likely settle near 12–13 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and westerly flow off the North Sea that limits radiative cooling. Historical averages place the September 8 low at 11.5 °C, but current conditions—dew points near 12–14 °C and winds of 10–15 km/h—support readings a degree or two above that baseline. Market-implied probabilities favor 12 °C (47 %) and 13 °C (26 %) because latest GFS and ECMWF runs converge on these thresholds, with only modest uncertainty from timing of any clearing. Warmer or colder outliers remain low-probability given the stable maritime air mass.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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