Recent forecasts from agencies including the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Lucknow on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 60% implied probability for that exact value. Persistent monsoon moisture, elevated humidity near 80%, and expected partly cloudy skies with isolated thundershowers are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows above the September climatological average of ~24°C. Model consensus shows little deviation, with steering patterns and residual cloud cover suppressing sharper drops below 24°C or anomalous warmth above 28°C. The 24% odds on 21°C or below reflect residual tail risk from heavier localized rain, while the comparable probability on 31°C or higher appears driven by uncertainty in daytime heating carryover. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 18?
26°C 61%
21°C or below 48%
31°C or higher 48%
27°C 40%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 18, 2026
21°C or below
48%
22°C
16%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
60%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C
18%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
48%
26°C 61%
21°C or below 48%
31°C or higher 48%
27°C 40%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 18, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
48%
22°C
$0 Vol.
16%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$249 Vol.
60%
27°C
$0 Vol.
40%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C
$0 Vol.
17%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Lucknow on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 60% implied probability for that exact value. Persistent monsoon moisture, elevated humidity near 80%, and expected partly cloudy skies with isolated thundershowers are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows above the September climatological average of ~24°C. Model consensus shows little deviation, with steering patterns and residual cloud cover suppressing sharper drops below 24°C or anomalous warmth above 28°C. The 24% odds on 21°C or below reflect residual tail risk from heavier localized rain, while the comparable probability on 31°C or higher appears driven by uncertainty in daytime heating carryover. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$249Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Lucknow on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 60% implied probability for that exact value. Persistent monsoon moisture, elevated humidity near 80%, and expected partly cloudy skies with isolated thundershowers are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows above the September climatological average of ~24°C. Model consensus shows little deviation, with steering patterns and residual cloud cover suppressing sharper drops below 24°C or anomalous warmth above 28°C. The 24% odds on 21°C or below reflect residual tail risk from heavier localized rain, while the comparable probability on 31°C or higher appears driven by uncertainty in daytime heating carryover. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$249Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Lucknow on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 60% implied probability for that exact value. Persistent monsoon moisture, elevated humidity near 80%, and expected partly cloudy skies with isolated thundershowers are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows above the September climatological average of ~24°C. Model consensus shows little deviation, with steering patterns and residual cloud cover suppressing sharper drops below 24°C or anomalous warmth above 28°C. The 24% odds on 21°C or below reflect residual tail risk from heavier localized rain, while the comparable probability on 31°C or higher appears driven by uncertainty in daytime heating carryover. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong