Recent forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS data indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on September 21 will likely settle near 13–14°C under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling. This central tendency fuels the closely matched 44.5% market-implied odds on the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher outcomes, as traders weigh potential model shifts in steering patterns or unexpected cold advection against the current mild baseline. Historical September averages around 10–12°C provide context, but near-term updates from official monitoring will determine whether probabilities consolidate around the 13–14°C levels currently priced at 21–24.5%.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Moscow on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 21?
18°C or higher 86%
8°C or below 85%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 21, 2026
8°C or below
85%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
27%
14°C
22%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
14%
18°C or higher
86%
18°C or higher 86%
8°C or below 85%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 21, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Vol.
85%
9°C
$0 Vol.
40%
10°C
$0 Vol.
40%
11°C
$0 Vol.
40%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
22%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
14%
18°C or higher
$0 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS data indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on September 21 will likely settle near 13–14°C under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling. This central tendency fuels the closely matched 44.5% market-implied odds on the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher outcomes, as traders weigh potential model shifts in steering patterns or unexpected cold advection against the current mild baseline. Historical September averages around 10–12°C provide context, but near-term updates from official monitoring will determine whether probabilities consolidate around the 13–14°C levels currently priced at 21–24.5%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS data indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on September 21 will likely settle near 13–14°C under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling. This central tendency fuels the closely matched 44.5% market-implied odds on the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher outcomes, as traders weigh potential model shifts in steering patterns or unexpected cold advection against the current mild baseline. Historical September averages around 10–12°C provide context, but near-term updates from official monitoring will determine whether probabilities consolidate around the 13–14°C levels currently priced at 21–24.5%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS data indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on September 21 will likely settle near 13–14°C under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling. This central tendency fuels the closely matched 44.5% market-implied odds on the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher outcomes, as traders weigh potential model shifts in steering patterns or unexpected cold advection against the current mild baseline. Historical September averages around 10–12°C provide context, but near-term updates from official monitoring will determine whether probabilities consolidate around the 13–14°C levels currently priced at 21–24.5%.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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