Recent meteorological forecasts from sources like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 20 will settle near 8°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure around 750 mmHg. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and current observational trends showing gradual cooling from daytime highs of 19–21°C. Trader consensus at 95% implied probability for 8°C reflects strong model agreement on these conditions, with limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from faster radiational cooling under clearer skies than projected or a last-minute shift in steering patterns that drops readings to 7°C or below.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Moscow on September 20?
8°C 95%
7°C 5%
6°C 2%
5°C or below <1%
$4,289 Vol.
$4,289 Vol.
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
8°C 95%
7°C 5%
6°C 2%
5°C or below <1%
$4,289 Vol.
$4,289 Vol.
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from sources like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 20 will settle near 8°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure around 750 mmHg. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and current observational trends showing gradual cooling from daytime highs of 19–21°C. Trader consensus at 95% implied probability for 8°C reflects strong model agreement on these conditions, with limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from faster radiational cooling under clearer skies than projected or a last-minute shift in steering patterns that drops readings to 7°C or below.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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