Current forecast guidance from global models shows Moscow overnight lows likely settling in the 12–14°C range on September 22, supported by persistent southeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 85–95%, and widespread cloud cover with showers that limit radiational cooling. These conditions contrast with typical late-September climatology, where the average minimum is around 7°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between a mild outcome (17°C or higher) and cooler readings (7°C or below) because small shifts in timing of precipitation or wind speed could alter the exact minimum by several degrees. Official updates from Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and fresh model runs will provide the next key data points ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Moscow on September 22?
7°C or below 91%
17°C or higher 90%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
7°C or below
91%
8°C
18%
9°C
19%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
30%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
18%
17°C or higher
90%
7°C or below 91%
17°C or higher 90%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
7°C or below
91%
8°C
18%
9°C
19%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
30%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
18%
17°C or higher
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from global models shows Moscow overnight lows likely settling in the 12–14°C range on September 22, supported by persistent southeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 85–95%, and widespread cloud cover with showers that limit radiational cooling. These conditions contrast with typical late-September climatology, where the average minimum is around 7°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between a mild outcome (17°C or higher) and cooler readings (7°C or below) because small shifts in timing of precipitation or wind speed could alter the exact minimum by several degrees. Official updates from Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and fresh model runs will provide the next key data points ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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