Recent numerical weather model guidance from sources including GFS and regional forecasts positions minimum temperatures in Warsaw for September 1 in the 15–17°C range, with overnight lows near 16°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow following a frontal passage. This drives the market’s emphasis on 15°C and 16°C outcomes, while cooler bins such as 12°C or below reflect residual model spread and historical September minima near 11–13°C that traders incorporate amid forecast uncertainty. Upcoming high-resolution model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities as land-breeze and cloud-cover details evolve.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 1?
12°C or below 41%
14°C 37%
15°C 29%
16°C 28%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 1, 2026
12°C or below
41%
13°C
16%
14°C
37%
15°C
29%
16°C
28%
17°C
26%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
9%
12°C or below 41%
14°C 37%
15°C 29%
16°C 28%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 1, 2026
12°C or below
$49 Vol.
41%
13°C
$0 Vol.
16%
14°C
$0 Vol.
37%
15°C
$0 Vol.
29%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
8%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C or higher
$225 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model guidance from sources including GFS and regional forecasts positions minimum temperatures in Warsaw for September 1 in the 15–17°C range, with overnight lows near 16°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow following a frontal passage. This drives the market’s emphasis on 15°C and 16°C outcomes, while cooler bins such as 12°C or below reflect residual model spread and historical September minima near 11–13°C that traders incorporate amid forecast uncertainty. Upcoming high-resolution model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities as land-breeze and cloud-cover details evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$274Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model guidance from sources including GFS and regional forecasts positions minimum temperatures in Warsaw for September 1 in the 15–17°C range, with overnight lows near 16°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow following a frontal passage. This drives the market’s emphasis on 15°C and 16°C outcomes, while cooler bins such as 12°C or below reflect residual model spread and historical September minima near 11–13°C that traders incorporate amid forecast uncertainty. Upcoming high-resolution model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities as land-breeze and cloud-cover details evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$274Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model guidance from sources including GFS and regional forecasts positions minimum temperatures in Warsaw for September 1 in the 15–17°C range, with overnight lows near 16°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow following a frontal passage. This drives the market’s emphasis on 15°C and 16°C outcomes, while cooler bins such as 12°C or below reflect residual model spread and historical September minima near 11–13°C that traders incorporate amid forecast uncertainty. Upcoming high-resolution model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities as land-breeze and cloud-cover details evolve.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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