Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw’s minimum temperature on September 2 will likely occur overnight or early morning under light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure near 1018 hPa, supporting radiative cooling to the mid-teens Celsius. Ensemble guidance clusters the overnight low between 13–15 °C, with the tight 13 °C versus 14 °C split in market-implied odds reflecting minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and exact timing of any brief showers. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology for the region, where clear nocturnal periods can produce 1–2 °C additional cooling relative to partly cloudy scenarios. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will determine which threshold is realized.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 2?
14°C 51%
13°C 49%
12°C 48%
11°C 7%
$479 Vol.
$479 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
6%
11°C
7%
12°C
48%
13°C
49%
14°C
51%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 51%
13°C 49%
12°C 48%
11°C 7%
$479 Vol.
$479 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
6%
11°C
7%
12°C
48%
13°C
49%
14°C
51%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw’s minimum temperature on September 2 will likely occur overnight or early morning under light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure near 1018 hPa, supporting radiative cooling to the mid-teens Celsius. Ensemble guidance clusters the overnight low between 13–15 °C, with the tight 13 °C versus 14 °C split in market-implied odds reflecting minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and exact timing of any brief showers. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology for the region, where clear nocturnal periods can produce 1–2 °C additional cooling relative to partly cloudy scenarios. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will determine which threshold is realized.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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