Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Warsaw likely between 8–11°C on September 22, with northwesterly winds and scattered showers limiting overnight radiative cooling. Cooler maritime air advection following Monday’s frontal passage has kept surface temperatures suppressed relative to seasonal averages, while variable cloud cover and dew points near 8–10°C create uncertainty around the exact low. Trader sentiment remains nearly evenly split between sub-5°C and 14°C+ outcomes because small shifts in wind speed, clearing timing, or boundary-layer mixing could push the minimum several degrees in either direction before resolution. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 22?
4°C or below 94%
14°C or higher 92%
9°C 39%
10°C 37%
4°C or below
94%
5°C
20%
6°C
21%
7°C
35%
8°C
25%
9°C
39%
10°C
37%
11°C
20%
12°C
37%
13°C
37%
14°C or higher
92%
4°C or below 94%
14°C or higher 92%
9°C 39%
10°C 37%
4°C or below
94%
5°C
20%
6°C
21%
7°C
35%
8°C
25%
9°C
39%
10°C
37%
11°C
20%
12°C
37%
13°C
37%
14°C or higher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Warsaw likely between 8–11°C on September 22, with northwesterly winds and scattered showers limiting overnight radiative cooling. Cooler maritime air advection following Monday’s frontal passage has kept surface temperatures suppressed relative to seasonal averages, while variable cloud cover and dew points near 8–10°C create uncertainty around the exact low. Trader sentiment remains nearly evenly split between sub-5°C and 14°C+ outcomes because small shifts in wind speed, clearing timing, or boundary-layer mixing could push the minimum several degrees in either direction before resolution. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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