**Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C low for Wuhan on September 9, 2026 (87% implied probability), with 19°C also prominent at 45%.** Multiple forecast models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration data, project overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy to clearing skies and northerly flow, yielding a minimum near 19–20°C. Hourly observations show temperatures bottoming around 19–20°C late in the night or early morning, consistent with September climatology for the region as subtropical highs weaken. Stronger consensus on 20°C versus lower odds for 18°C or below reflects the absence of atypical cold advection or clear-sky extremes in current model runs, while warmer outcomes remain improbable given the established cooling trend. Updated guidance from agencies like the National Meteorological Center will refine resolution near the daily minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 9?
20°C 96%
18°C or below 7%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
18°C or below
7%
19°C
48%
20°C
87%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
20°C 96%
18°C or below 7%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
18°C or below
7%
19°C
48%
20°C
87%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C low for Wuhan on September 9, 2026 (87% implied probability), with 19°C also prominent at 45%.** Multiple forecast models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration data, project overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy to clearing skies and northerly flow, yielding a minimum near 19–20°C. Hourly observations show temperatures bottoming around 19–20°C late in the night or early morning, consistent with September climatology for the region as subtropical highs weaken. Stronger consensus on 20°C versus lower odds for 18°C or below reflects the absence of atypical cold advection or clear-sky extremes in current model runs, while warmer outcomes remain improbable given the established cooling trend. Updated guidance from agencies like the National Meteorological Center will refine resolution near the daily minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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