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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Dan Koh 71%

Mariah Lancaster 9.1%

Tram Nguyen 4.6%

Kevin Larivee 3.7%

Polymarket

$35,524 Vol.

Dan Koh 71%

Mariah Lancaster 9.1%

Tram Nguyen 4.6%

Kevin Larivee 3.7%

Polymarket

$35,524 Vol.

Dan Koh

$4,328 Vol.

71%

Mariah Lancaster

$1,881 Vol.

9%

Tram Nguyen

$4,160 Vol.

5%

Kevin Larivee

$1,449 Vol.

4%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

$2,164 Vol.

3%

Diann Slavit Baylis

$5,030 Vol.

9%

John Beccia

$1,724 Vol.

2%

Dominick Pangallo

$5,955 Vol.

2%

Rachel Creemers

$2,074 Vol.

1%

Rick Jakious

$3,398 Vol.

1%

Seth Moulton

$1,800 Vol.

1%

Beth Andres-Beck

$1,562 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Dan Koh at 70.5% to win the open MA-06 Democratic primary on September 1, driven by his dominant first-quarter fundraising over $3.5 million, early ballot qualification with more than 2,000 signatures in late March, and key endorsements from Pete Buttigieg, former Rep. John Tierney, IBEW Local 2222, and Swampscott Select Board vice chair in early April. Incumbent Seth Moulton seeks a U.S. Senate seat, creating a crowded field where immigration attorney Diann Slavit Baylis holds 11.5% on local ties and prior civic work, while veterinarian Mariah Lancaster garners 9.1% with State Department experience. Recent Q1 reports and Koh's Boston Marathon visibility underscore his momentum, though no public polls exist and shifts remain possible.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$35,524
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Dan Koh at 70.5% to win the open MA-06 Democratic primary on September 1, driven by his dominant first-quarter fundraising over $3.5 million, early ballot qualification with more than 2,000 signatures in late March, and key endorsements from Pete Buttigieg, former Rep. John Tierney, IBEW Local 2222, and Swampscott Select Board vice chair in early April. Incumbent Seth Moulton seeks a U.S. Senate seat, creating a crowded field where immigration attorney Diann Slavit Baylis holds 11.5% on local ties and prior civic work, while veterinarian Mariah Lancaster garners 9.1% with State Department experience. Recent Q1 reports and Koh's Boston Marathon visibility underscore his momentum, though no public polls exist and shifts remain possible.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$35,524
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 12 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Dan Koh" sa 71%, sinusundan ng "Mariah Lancaster" sa 9%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 71¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 71% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $35.5K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 25, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 12 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Dan Koh" sa 71%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 71% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Mariah Lancaster" sa 9%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.