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Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Maura Sullivan 71%

Stefany Shaheen 22%

Carleigh Beriont 4.1%

Heath Howard <1%

Polymarket

$73,760 Vol.

Maura Sullivan 71%

Stefany Shaheen 22%

Carleigh Beriont 4.1%

Heath Howard <1%

Polymarket

$73,760 Vol.

icon for Maura Sullivan

Maura Sullivan

$25,523 Vol.

71%

icon for Stefany Shaheen

Stefany Shaheen

$34,911 Vol.

22%

icon for Carleigh Beriont

Carleigh Beriont

$9,173 Vol.

4%

icon for Heath Howard

Heath Howard

$4,154 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Maura Sullivan has emerged as the frontrunner in the September 8 Democratic primary for New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District, with recent polls showing her leading or statistically tied with Stefany Shaheen amid a large field and high undecided voter share. Sullivan’s substantial fundraising edge—over $3.6 million raised compared with Shaheen’s roughly $2.4 million—along with heavy outside spending from groups such as VoteVets and endorsements from veterans’ organizations and figures including the governors of New Jersey and Virginia, has driven her momentum after trailing early in the cycle. Shaheen, initially advantaged by name recognition as the daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, has faced criticism over her positioning on issues like healthcare and negative advertising on donor ties. Progressive candidate Carleigh Beriont has gained some grassroots support but remains well behind in both polling and resources, while Heath Howard has suspended his campaign. These dynamics reflect trader consensus on Sullivan’s structural advantages heading into primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$73,760
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 8, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Maura Sullivan has emerged as the frontrunner in the September 8 Democratic primary for New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District, with recent polls showing her leading or statistically tied with Stefany Shaheen amid a large field and high undecided voter share. Sullivan’s substantial fundraising edge—over $3.6 million raised compared with Shaheen’s roughly $2.4 million—along with heavy outside spending from groups such as VoteVets and endorsements from veterans’ organizations and figures including the governors of New Jersey and Virginia, has driven her momentum after trailing early in the cycle. Shaheen, initially advantaged by name recognition as the daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, has faced criticism over her positioning on issues like healthcare and negative advertising on donor ties. Progressive candidate Carleigh Beriont has gained some grassroots support but remains well behind in both polling and resources, while Heath Howard has suspended his campaign. These dynamics reflect trader consensus on Sullivan’s structural advantages heading into primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$73,760
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 8, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Kaugnay

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Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Maura Sullivan" sa 71%, sinusundan ng "Stefany Shaheen" sa 22%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 71¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 71% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $73.8K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 25, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Maura Sullivan" sa 71%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 71% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Stefany Shaheen" sa 22%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.