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Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner

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Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Stefany Shaheen 54%

Maura Sullivan 30%

Carleigh Beriont 11%

Heath Howard 3.5%

Polymarket

$12,549 Vol.

Stefany Shaheen 54%

Maura Sullivan 30%

Carleigh Beriont 11%

Heath Howard 3.5%

Polymarket

$12,549 Vol.

Stefany Shaheen

$7,650 Vol.

54%

Maura Sullivan

$3,216 Vol.

30%

Carleigh Beriont

$1,333 Vol.

11%

Heath Howard

$350 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Stefany Shaheen at 57.5% to win New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on September 8, driven by her consistent polling lead, including the University of New Hampshire survey from January showing 33% support amid 39% undecideds, bolstered by name recognition as daughter of Senator Jeanne Shaheen and early labor endorsements. Maura Sullivan holds 29.5% implied probability, fueled by superior fundraising—$2.6 million raised cycle and $1.48 million cash on hand as of March 31—outpacing Shaheen's $1.8 million despite her weaker poll numbers around 8%. Carleigh Beriont at 10.5% and Heath Howard at 3.5% lag due to modest polling (3-10%) and limited funds under $400,000 each. Recent Q1 reports and an April 9 candidate forum, where Shaheen was absent, underscore the competitive field in this open seat race vacated by Chris Pappas for Senate.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,549
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 8, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Stefany Shaheen at 57.5% to win New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on September 8, driven by her consistent polling lead, including the University of New Hampshire survey from January showing 33% support amid 39% undecideds, bolstered by name recognition as daughter of Senator Jeanne Shaheen and early labor endorsements. Maura Sullivan holds 29.5% implied probability, fueled by superior fundraising—$2.6 million raised cycle and $1.48 million cash on hand as of March 31—outpacing Shaheen's $1.8 million despite her weaker poll numbers around 8%. Carleigh Beriont at 10.5% and Heath Howard at 3.5% lag due to modest polling (3-10%) and limited funds under $400,000 each. Recent Q1 reports and an April 9 candidate forum, where Shaheen was absent, underscore the competitive field in this open seat race vacated by Chris Pappas for Senate.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,549
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 8, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Stefany Shaheen" sa 54%, sinusundan ng "Maura Sullivan" sa 30%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 54¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 54% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $12.5K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 25, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Stefany Shaheen" sa 54%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 54% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Maura Sullivan" sa 30%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.