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Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

NH-01 Republican Primary Winner

icon for NH-01 Republican Primary Winner
Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

NH-01 Republican Primary Winner

Anthony DiLorenzo 70%

Hollie Noveletsky 15%

Melissa Bailey 5.3%

Brian Cole 3.6%

Polymarket

$40,146 Vol.

Anthony DiLorenzo 70%

Hollie Noveletsky 15%

Melissa Bailey 5.3%

Brian Cole 3.6%

Polymarket

$40,146 Vol.

Anthony DiLorenzo

$1,643 Vol.

70%

Hollie Noveletsky

$22,859 Vol.

16%

Melissa Bailey

$1,058 Vol.

5%

Brian Cole

$1,048 Vol.

4%

Elizabeth Girard

$13,538 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Anthony DiLorenzo holds the lead in the September 8, 2026, New Hampshire 1st Congressional District Republican primary due to his early entry, extensive personal resources as an auto dealer and real estate developer, and dominant fundraising exceeding $1.2 million with substantial cash reserves as of March 2026. Hollie Noveletsky, a 2024 primary candidate and former state party vice chair, trails as the clearest alternative by emphasizing alignment with former President Trump on immigration enforcement and other issues, including recent campaign contrasts drawn after DiLorenzo’s filing-day comments. Lower-polling candidates including state Representative Brian Cole, Melissa Bailey, and Elizabeth Girard lack comparable financial or name-recognition advantages at this stage. The market reflects these resource and positioning gaps ahead of the filing deadline close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,146
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 8, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Anthony DiLorenzo holds the lead in the September 8, 2026, New Hampshire 1st Congressional District Republican primary due to his early entry, extensive personal resources as an auto dealer and real estate developer, and dominant fundraising exceeding $1.2 million with substantial cash reserves as of March 2026. Hollie Noveletsky, a 2024 primary candidate and former state party vice chair, trails as the clearest alternative by emphasizing alignment with former President Trump on immigration enforcement and other issues, including recent campaign contrasts drawn after DiLorenzo’s filing-day comments. Lower-polling candidates including state Representative Brian Cole, Melissa Bailey, and Elizabeth Girard lack comparable financial or name-recognition advantages at this stage. The market reflects these resource and positioning gaps ahead of the filing deadline close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,146
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 8, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "NH-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Anthony DiLorenzo" sa 70%, sinusundan ng "Hollie Noveletsky" sa 16%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 70¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 70% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "NH-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $40.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Feb 23, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "NH-01 Republican Primary Winner," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "NH-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay "Anthony DiLorenzo" sa 70%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 70% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Hollie Noveletsky" sa 16%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "NH-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.