Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with nearly 74% of the vote in Missouri's 2nd congressional district, facing Democrat Fred Wellman in the November general election. The district carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+6 and has returned Wagner to office since 2012, consistent with its suburban St. Louis footprint. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting historical margins and limited shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns. Earlier 2026 polling showed a narrower head-to-head contest, but post-primary assessments have held steady without major new developments altering the competitive baseline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMO-02 House Election Winner
Republican Party
65%
Democratic Party
33%
Republican Party
65%
Democratic Party
33%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with nearly 74% of the vote in Missouri's 2nd congressional district, facing Democrat Fred Wellman in the November general election. The district carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+6 and has returned Wagner to office since 2012, consistent with its suburban St. Louis footprint. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting historical margins and limited shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns. Earlier 2026 polling showed a narrower head-to-head contest, but post-primary assessments have held steady without major new developments altering the competitive baseline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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