Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands overwhelming trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability in the May 12, 2026, nonpartisan Newark mayoral election, driven by his strong incumbency advantage after three terms, recent union endorsements from the Newark Firefighters and CWA District 1, and a fragmented field of seven minor challengers—many perennial candidates like Douglas Davis and Nasheedah Singleton—who lack credible organization or polling traction. Baraka's April 1 State of the City address highlighted gains in public safety, education, and economic development, reinforcing his "Continue Moving Newark Forward" slogan amid low challenger visibility. While a late scandal, major defection, or turnout surge favoring an underdog could shift odds, structural barriers and historical incumbent dominance in Newark municipal races make an upset improbable.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNewark Mayoral Election
Newark Mayoral Election
Ras Baraka 96%
Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.4%
Douglas Davis 1.4%
Nasheedah Singleton <1%
$18,251 Vol.
$18,251 Vol.
Ras Baraka
96%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
1%
Douglas Davis
1%
Nasheedah Singleton
1%
Sheila Montague
<1%
Tanisha Garner
<1%
Noble Milton
<1%
Jhamar Youngblood
<1%
Debra Salters
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
Ras Baraka 96%
Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.4%
Douglas Davis 1.4%
Nasheedah Singleton <1%
$18,251 Vol.
$18,251 Vol.
Ras Baraka
96%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
1%
Douglas Davis
1%
Nasheedah Singleton
1%
Sheila Montague
<1%
Tanisha Garner
<1%
Noble Milton
<1%
Jhamar Youngblood
<1%
Debra Salters
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Binuksan ang Market: Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands overwhelming trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability in the May 12, 2026, nonpartisan Newark mayoral election, driven by his strong incumbency advantage after three terms, recent union endorsements from the Newark Firefighters and CWA District 1, and a fragmented field of seven minor challengers—many perennial candidates like Douglas Davis and Nasheedah Singleton—who lack credible organization or polling traction. Baraka's April 1 State of the City address highlighted gains in public safety, education, and economic development, reinforcing his "Continue Moving Newark Forward" slogan amid low challenger visibility. While a late scandal, major defection, or turnout surge favoring an underdog could shift odds, structural barriers and historical incumbent dominance in Newark municipal races make an upset improbable.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong